However, U.S. horseplayers looking for form really should embrace the game. Why? We did a 5-year study a number of years ago and found that favorites won at nearly a 50% rate.
Of course, there are exceptions to every rule when it comes to handicapping and the differences between winning and losing, etc. But my steeplechasing philosophy is this: Good jumpers don’t fall.
Today’s Saratoga feature is the Grade 1 New York Turf Writers’ Cup Handicap featuring all the major players.
Tom Voss will saddle the early line favorite, Left Unsaid (5-2), who lose the G1 Smithwick Memorial by a nose. And Jonathan Sheppard, who’s won about a dozen of these things, will saddle a three-ply entry including Sermon Of Love, the 2010 winner of this race.
B we’ll stick with the very sharp Demonstrative (5-1), who won the Kiser prepping for this, a race that produced the 2011 Turf Writers’ winner. The Richard Valentine trainee sheds 10 pounds, obviously meeting a tougher group here.
Regular partner Robert Walsh has the mount on this young gelding (5YOs are considered young in this game) who loves the Spa ground, owing to a (3) 1-2-0 career slate at Saratoga.
Running Totals: (1147) 352-220-173 Total Dollar Return: $2,415.80 [win selections only] [Wednesday Results not included}


22 Aug 2012 at 06:05 pm | #
Preach, Jump race is tomorrow. Albany the 3rd leg of NY TC is today
22 Aug 2012 at 06:32 pm | #
Losing track of the days is the easiest way to spot a genius.
Will step in for Mr. Pricci and give out 6-Little Nick in the second in Paradise. Use 2-Shmooz Talker and 4-Jess Not Jesse for exacto-whacto.
Who loves ya baby!
TTT
22 Aug 2012 at 06:58 pm | #
Thanks TTT , I’ve missed your picks and most of all your drivel.
22 Aug 2012 at 08:02 pm | #
Mea culpa, one and all. Was able to catch mistake 10 minutes before air time last night on WNYT, the one saving grace.
In the Albany, we’re going on record with Zivo (3-1).
T, that’s wjhat happens when you get a drak day; you get TOO far ahead of the curve!
23 Aug 2012 at 12:29 am | #
#7 FOX RULES 23.2 WINS ONLY
23 Aug 2012 at 03:42 am | #
As for that kangaroo race, some things are better Left Unsaid.
TTT
23 Aug 2012 at 03:38 pm | #
If favorites win 50% of their races, and I am inclined that they win slightly more than 50%, then all we bettors need are payoffs that average $4 to break-even; that doesn’t appear to be to difficult. How come I am not a millionaire?
I did an analysis once that seemed to suggest that all I needed was $3.40 payoffs in the show spot to cover the daily bar bill - it works! Me, and my group of sharpies, have been using the show bet to pay for our beers for years and years. As to using show to get prosperous - to boring.
Am going to make my first two wagers at Saratoga this year today. Hunch wagers, as I have a feeling that your ole college bud is going to pop today.
23 Aug 2012 at 10:54 pm | #
Fosters on the house!!!!!!!