The highlight of today’s Saratoga 2008 is the Grade 1 Three Chimneys Hopeful Stakes. Without a clear leader but with some talent on display in this class, today’s seven furlongs will give strong hints as to what might happen later this fall. We’ll concentrate, in post order, on three colts: Break Water Edison (4-1), Munnings (5-2) and Cribnote (7-2).

Break Water Edison was an excellent change-of-pace second in the G2 Saratoga Special at 6-½ furlongs after breaking his maiden going 5-½ at Belmont Park. It takes some class to do that and his performance figures in both starts are very fast and consistent. It’s only a question if they were too fast and if coming back in a bit less than three weeks will have a negative impact. The colt loses Alan Garcia to Vineyard Haven but picks up Kent Desormeaux, who’s been riding in better form in the waning days of this meeting. Trainer John Kimmel is dealing a very hot hand at the moment.

Munnings lacks experience but he’s a grad looking individual who broke his maiden at Saratoga like breaking so many sticks here opening week despite being pressured throughout and overcoming an incident at the start. A $1.7 million purchase for top connections, he drew off in a manner suggesting he might be special, although it’s difficult to hang your hat on one start.

Cribnote also broke maiden here in his second lifetime start with exceptional style by 13-½ lengths, and you don’t see that every day. The bad news is that the win came in restricted state-bred company. The good news is that he showed a truly exceptional turn of foot to take the lead then drew off in handy style to that lengthy margin. He has an experience edge on the early line favorite, Rajiv Maragh has established a rapport and Rick Violette has been fairly effective with limited starters.

We’ re taking Break Water Edison to win at 7-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his main rivals here.

Running Totals: (267) 82-52-32. Total Dollar Return: $492.10 [win selections only]