Clearly, it all depends on how you view the chances of Mighty Eros (7-2), away from the races for 508 days. Wow! The others are Oniyome (5-2) and Casey’s Tribe (3-1). All of them are fast fillies.
Oniyome makes her Belmont return for the hot Hushion/Hill team. The last time she raced here, she earned a lifetime best figure, albeit on a muddy track. But she confirmed that good form by finishing first in both subsequent starts now turns back with added conditioning.
Casey’s Tribe is the fresher of the two and that might prove the difference. She also turns back to her best distance following a rough trip in her lone Spa start, a key race that produced two next out winners from four starters. She has won half her four starts at this trip and two of three over the track. Rajiv Maragh, off fast at the meet, takes the mount for Bruce Levine.
Mighty Eros was one fast three-year-old last season, winning both career starts by a combined margin of 17-34 lengths, including a state bred stakes event. Obviously talented, it’s a question of fitness and intent. Her work tab has been spotty and this looks like a possible prep for New York Showcase Day, which will be held toward the end of the Belmont Park fall stand.
We’ll take whatever value is offered on Casey’s Tribe to win at 5-2 or greater and exacta keys first and second with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (272) 84-54-32. Total Dollar Return: $504.20 [win selections only]