Two races to choose from since both are the highest purse events on the card. We've settled on the 6th at Belmont where the favorite, Atlantic's Smile (2-1), is going to be a tough out. She used herself up badly setting an extremely fast pace at 7 furlongs; today's turn-back suits very well.

Ideal Place (6-1) might have won her last except for a horrible trip; breaking tardily at the start, the loss of position costing her extreme ground loss into the stretch. It was a much improved effort following the Linda Rice claim. Nicely drawn inside with Saez on a return call, she'll have lots of pace to set up her late run. The Rice barn has been on fire all meeting.

Taking Ideal Place at 3-1 or greater, an exacta box with the favorite, and adding price shot Lady Nitro (12-1) to the mix.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1407

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 429-266-213

Amount Wagered: $2,814 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,919.00

Profit to Date: $105.00