It doesn’t seem possible that Elope (1-1) can get beat. If I were guaranteed even money, I might be tempted to bet enough to retire the national debt. But I don’t think I need to worry about it. She’ll be half the early line at post time, perhaps even less.
After impressing in her debut as a late season three year old, she didn’t begin 2008 until Saratoga. Obviously she has issues. Just as arguably, she can run!
She won her four year old debut by earning a performance figure that would win most stakes races, graded stakes at that. She absolutely had to regress in her second start, in which she moved up to the G2 level. But she finished a good second. To Indian Blessing no less!
The only way to possibly make money on this is to take some a one way exacta and a cold trifecta to block. Here’s how that works. Loving Vindication is 5-2 in the morning line and is a fast filly herself. But since her recent figures were earned at 5-½ furlongs and not six, she may be vulnerable. Besides, if you need to cash a $4 exacta, you probably need the money and should wager, anyway.
The filly we like to complete the exacta is Just Zip It (8-1). She earns good figures at this level and does so with laudable consistency. She also owns the right running style, having tactical speed and kick. Nicely freshened and well drawn, she will be running late for the team of Billy Turner and Channing Hill. She’s never finished off-the-board in seven starts at this trip, including her only three lifetime victories.
Elope is the obvious choice, with no price restrictions. We’ll take her in a cold exacta with Just Zip It, and a cold trifecta with Just Zip It third, using only Loving Vindication to split the one-way exacta.
Running Totals: (302) 92-62-37 Total Dollar Return: $608.80 [win selections only]