Of course, tactics and trips will dictate the outcome but suffice it to know that three horses have an excellent chance to win the first feature on the inner track: Lorrcan, Delosvientos and Ravel.
On performance figures, it would be Grade 2 winner Delosvientos (7-5) with no other competitor close. A proven classy marathoner, his early speed always makes him formidable in spots like these. Two-for-two beneath Eibar Coa, trainer Giuseppe Iadisernia is 34 percent with horses seeking repeat wins and he trained steadily for this since October. The one concern is that he appears better in his second start following a layup.
Ravel (3-1), meanwhile, is as classy. A G3 winner who has tasted G1 company, his career has disappointed his high profile connections but this looks like the proper spot and will vie for favoritism with Delosvientos. With a moderate pace that promises to be contested, however, Ravel fits the race shape well and few riders can match Johnny Velazquez’s positional skills. He’s never been the distance but has an extremely long pedigree.
What Lorrcan (8-1) apparently lacks in class he makes up for in sharpness, position, tactical speed and kick. He’s won at 12 furlongs, comes up to today’s route nicely and goes very well for Jeffrey Sanchez, a dual winner on the colt. Trainer Jimmy Ferraro is profitable with stakes runners at the non-graded level and the late developer really has come to hand in his 4-year-old season.
But we'll err on the side of a potential trip a nd take Ravel at 5-2 or greater and key him first and second in exactas and trifectas with his rivals here.
Running Totals: (321) 97-66-44. Total Dollar Return: $680.80 [win selections only]