Today's Gulfstream Park feature is a real head-scratcher, what with barn changes, long-layoff returnees, and less-than-top-form class droppers. Need to play this close to the vest and try to optimize in the multiples.

Long Face (3-1) is getting an important barn change to Christophe Clement, who's batting 30% for the meet thus far. She's been fairly competitive with consistently better recently and exits the G2 Goldikova which has produced three subsequent winners from five starters. She's won twice at the trip while going 1-for-7 doing anything else, has tactical speed, kick and inside position and gets regular partner Julien Leparoux.

Finally, first-time Clement is a profitable 27% effective with new acquisitions, and so we're taking Long Face to win at 5-2 or greater and key-boxing in exactas with sharp price shot Dene Court (12-1), class dropping Via Villagio (5-2) and Alaura Michelle (4-1), going first time for Mr. Pletcher.

Number of Selections since May, 2007: 1454

Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 444-276-223

Amount Wagered: $2,910 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,034.00

Profit to Date: $124.00