We’ve narrowed the contest down to four; two favorites and two not-so-favorites, to wit:
From the inside positions out, Vacare (5-1), My Typhoon (5-2), Pommes Frites (10-1) and Wait A While (2-1).
If this were last season, solving the riddle would have been no problem. Wait A While was winning everything in sight, including two Grade 1s, and would have been 3-5 on the early line. But after a season’s debut laugher at Gulfstream, she hated Polytrack in the Jenny Wiley then was beaten by My Typhoon in the Just A Game. The real good Wait A While wins this. She’s fresh, training well, but comes from a barn that can’t get out of it’s own way right now, Todd Pletcher, a loser with his last 29 starters.
After beating Wait A While, My Typhoon came up here and won the Grade 1 Diana. It was her third lifetime win at Saratoga from five starts and today, of all things, she drops back from nine furlongs to a distance at which she’s 5-for-6 lifetime. The price she pays is top weight, 122 to 121 on Wait A While.
Mott has two fillies in here and Pommes Frites is far from a race filler. She’s as fast as her competition, fresher than her stablemate, is working brilliantly, and reunites with Cornelio Velasquez, who’s 3-for-4 on her with a neck-back placing. Like her mate, she has excellent tactical speed and can finish. The attraction here, obviously, is her early line odds.
Vacare, one of two Christophe Clement fillies, had a tough trip in a Grade 1 at Hollypark last time out. She was forced to stalk the pace of a quality rival but still held on very well when everyone put the hammer down. It was her first loss in six career starts, she won the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth at three, is fresh, drawn well, and is 1-for-1 with Edgar Prado.
In a competitive cast, we’re going for the price on Pommes Frites to win at 7-1 or more, and a saver wager with Vacare at 3-1 plus. We will also key both fillies first and second in trifectas with each other and the two favorites.
Running Totals: (86) 37-18-11. Dollar Return: $222.30 [win selections only]