If the early line is any measure, it may be possible to secure value with Ice Cool Kitty. We realize that Karakorum Starlet enjoys an early pace edge, never finished worse than second at the distance with two wins, and was sharpened for speed in a recent sprint off a 234-day lay-up. Note that trainer Jeff Odintz is a profitable 16% in his second start off a layoff, only 2% under the lay-up scenario. And she’ll be under the gun from the rail position at the one-turn distance.
Favorite Sweet Sugaree (5-2) hails from the Albertrani barn that shows a lifetime profit with their distance runners and is 27% efficient when giving a leg up to Eibar Coa. Further, her second-best of 26 works, :48 2/5 termed breezing, on April 3 was fourth fastest of 71 fillies working a half-mile that week.
But Ice Cool Kitty has several more edges. She is the fastest filly in the race on figures at elongated sprint distances, got back to her lifetime best last time out, signaling a possible breakthrough performance here, owns tactical speed, has finishing kick and attracts apprentice sensation Joe Talamo. She can pick up the speed in mid-race and hold off the ralliers after beating them to the punch.
We’re taking Ice Cool Kitty to win, keying her in exacta boxes with Karakorum Starlet and Sweet Sugaree. We’ll go for the gusto in the trifecta, keying Ice Cool Kitty first with the other two fillies, adding mile specialist and surface loving Morning Gallop (5-1) underneath.