This filly is simply a different horse when there's moisture in the track. She won in the Belmont mud by an astounding 21-3/4 lengths going a mile, and by 3-1/4 in a wet inner-track sprint. Moreover, she's proven at the specialized 7-furlong sprint distance.
If her recent workout is an indication, she's ready to give her best effort for trainer Rich Schosberg, who's only 11% effective with C.C. Lopez in the boot, but the team is showing a substantial return on investment. On April 6, Towering Escape worked a best of 23 half-mile in :48, breezing. That move was second fastest of 105 fillies to work that week in New York. She is an attractive play.
Handicapping logic says to play Waytotheleft to bounce at 2-1, no matter how much improvement she's shown for Gary Contessa. Furthermore, 7 furlongs is questionable. It also makes sense to lay Veneti (3-1), as she figures to need her return from a layoff and draws the rail, compromising at this distance.
While we tabulate our record on win bets only, the percentage play here is a win-place wager, especially since it's difficult to project a runner-up. For gusto, take Little Miss Zip (8-1) in an exacta box. Proven at the distance, the Steve Klesaris runners are racing well following sharp Fair Hill workouts. She worked a bullet over that deeper surface recently and might emulate the barn's runner-up finisher in last Saturday's Bay Shore, given that same scenario.
Running Totals: (5) 2-1-1 ROI: $13.20