With only five horses entered in today’s Grade 2 Bed o’ Roses at Aqueduct, two from the same barn, we’ll provide bonus coverage of the G2 Lexington Stakes from Keeneland, a race that may provide an additional Kentucky Derby starter or two.
In the Bed o’ Roses, Hall of Famer Allen Jerkens has himself to beat. Any Limit might be a 6-˝ furlong specialist, but she did win going a mile on this track last fall and owns the fastest figures.
Stablemate Swap Fliperoo, turning back from an unsuitable two-turn route, is more than capable of running her mate down late. Any Limit rates the call to win, but not by much. Price, as always, should be your guide.
The mile and a sixteenth Lexington is far more interesting and likely will be a good betting race. Belgravia [3-1] is a worthy early favorite and probably will be the public’s choice at post time. When last seen, he suffered through a difficult trip at Hollywood Park--like today’s track, an artificial surface--and was considered a serious Derby prospect by his connections last year.
But a minor setback scrapped those plans and this might serve as his Preakness prep should trainer Patrick Biancone decide to go in that direction. Biancone has a fast, talented colt, the gifted Julien Leparoux aboard and is a profitable 30% off this kind of layoff.
Two interesting contenders are Sacrifice Bunt [6-1] and Joe Got Even [5-1]. (Forty Grams probably has more talent than either one, but may be less effective as a speed type on the Polytrack surface and likely be a shorter price).
Sacrifice Bunt was a strong-rally fourth off a very slow pace in the Illinois Derby. He has developed nicely over the winter and raised his game last time out. His running style is well suited to Polytrack. Joe Got Even, meanwhile, is as hard-hitting as they come and never has finished off the board on artificial tracks, winning three of six starts. A switch to Fernando Jara is a positive one.
Taking Belgravia to win 2-1 or better; exacta boxes with Sacrifice Bunt and Joe Got Even.