Today's six furlong sprint feature, a money allowances/$100,000 optional claiming event, drew only a field of five but a very highly competitive one. Small fields may or may not mean short prices but it always means it's a "rider's race." That kind is dangerous for bettors because if one horse is not doing what he is supposed to at different times during the running, the whole scenario changes. That's probably why Abbott and Costello coined the phrase: "They're Off! You Lose!"
Prolific winner Joey P must break sharply from the rail position or risk getting trapped. A fresh horse, he likely will press the pace of early speedster Mirine's Victory. If that scenario unfolds, Yes Yes Yes beneath Mike Luzzi should be stalking from the cat-bird seat, third. When he kicks for home, he should have the jump on the field's best late runner, Pavo. At least, that's the way we're going to play this race.
Yes Yes Yes has conditioning, turning back into a sprint from a recent two-turner. The switch to the main track, in that context, should help: It's difficult to stalk while racing wide on the inner track. Taking Yes Yes Yes to win at 3-1 or more.