As a self-described wiseguy, I use the term feature race to describe my best value play of the day. Not this time. The value I would get is nonexistent and the colt is no cinch given the race dynamics. Unless heís as special as I think he might be.
Denis of Cork is quite possibly my Derby horse. Other wiseguys know all about him. After today he might even break into the bottom of some Top Ten Derby lists you see around. Or he could disappear completely. Thatís the thing about developing young stock.
Before getting to Denis, I was interested to see this week that Nick Zito plans to bring out certain juvenile champion War Pass in Florida next month, then take the Street Sense path to Tampa. After that, the Wood, then hopefully on to Louisville. Sounds like a perfect schedule.
The 2007 two-year-old that impressed as ďThe Juvenile Most Likely to Succeed in Louisville on Mayís First SaturdayĒ was Remsen winner Court Vision. Havenít even seen his name on the work tab yet. Heís probably with Bill Mott at Payson Park, 90 minutes up I-95 from Gulfstream Park. I assume the Hall of Famer has a plan.
Denis of Cork (5-2) will break from the disadvantageous 7 post in a field of eight, with a short run to the first turn. Post probably wonít matter. Heís likely to just fall out of there and Calvin will take him straight to the fence. From there, his Derby education will begin.
On paper itís clear the Mott-trained Heís The Commander (4-1), Sagaponok (8-1) and Unbridled Vicar (3-1) will provide the sitffest competition. But Denis not only is the probable favorite but also most likely to be overbet. We shall see.
As we've said before (Jan. 4 HRI archives), Denis Of Cork might be very special. His victory is in the conversation for the most impressive debut weíve ever seen. (See for yourself, CD, Nov. 6th race). Moreover, it came at seven-eighths over the Derby track and he did it the right way, increasing his tempo with every stride.
He broke his maiden with a dramatic 5-path sweep. Letís see what Borel does with him today around a second turn. Iím not likely to be betting, just watching. Either way, itís the race Iím looking forward to most. Check the colt out. It could be worth it.