The major contenders appear to be the Tony Dutrow entry of Lord Snowden and Morineís Victory (7-5) the coupling of Leonardo and Touchdown Kid (8-5) through common ownership interests, and the Levine entry of Callmetony and Man of Danger (3-1).
The Dutrow entry seems the most formidable. Both Lord Snowden and Morineís Victory can win although only one will start since Ramon Dominguez is named on both horses. Morineís Victory is, by definition, the fastest horse on performance figures, is a win machine with a lifetime mark of 18 wins from 40 starts, and likes the inner track, with a (2) 1-1-0 across the board. Lord Snowden, meanwhile, is winless in four starts over the ground but has been second in three of four starts and fitís the race shape nicely as a late runner in a speed laden group.
Leonardo appears the stronger of the common-ownership coupling. He has much potential as a late developing soon-to-be four-year-old and has held his own in stakes competition elsewhere. His mate, touchdown Kid, is 2-for-4 over this surface, comes from the resurgent barn of Rick Schosberg and an outside draw fits his close-up stalking style.
Callmetony is clearly the stronger of the Levine coupling. He has excellent tactical speed, the rail post to facilitate a good stalking trip and once again tries his best distance, 20-for-26 in the money with nine wins at three-quarters of a mile. Actually, a tough trip in last probably cost him his 10th.
It will be tough taking money from this race unless Dutrow scratches Morineís Victory and goes solely with Lord Snowden, who would be a much bigger price of the two. So, weíll take the Dutrow entry to win, no price parameters, and an exacta key first and second with the two major contenders here.
Running Totals: (151) 55-33-16. Total Dollar Return: $333.10 [win selections only]