Today’s Alex M Robb for state-breds going a mile and a sixteenth for 3-year-olds and up is a good one, and a good betting race, too. The strength is all outside in this full field, from the 7 post, out; Indian Hawke (5-2), Run With the Lark (6-1), Who What Win (5-1) and Naughty New Yorker (3-1).

Indian Hawke is co-fastest on performance figures, has excellent tactical speed and is extremely sharp right now for Tony Dutrow and Alan Garcia, a tandem that’s 44 % effective when they hook up. Add the fact that the streaking speedster loves the surface and you know he will be a tough out.

When last seen, Naughty New Yorker was finishing third in the Grade 1 Cigar mile. Guess you might say he rates a class edge vs. his native New Yorkers. But this is a pretty salty group, he’s drawn the extreme outside and that first turn comes up pretty quickly. Furthermore he’s picking up 7 pounds and likes the winter surface. Jean-Luc Samyn gets along with him very well.

Who What Win earned an excellent figure over this surface last season, comes up to this in excellent form and attracts Ramon Dominguez. But what sets him apart from most of the others is the fact he’s never finished worse than second in 10 starts on this surface, including four wins. He’s also a four-time winner at the distance.

Run With the Lark has never raced in better form and hails from a barn that has had a resurgent season, and will end the year with a flat-bet profit. That’s what happens when starters outrun their odds. With lots of speed signed on, the Rick Schosberg runner fits the race shape very well and Norberto Arroyo fits him extremely well. Off all the major contenders, he is the one most likely to fall through the wagering cracks.

Taking the value on Run With the Lark at 6-1 or greater, and keying him first and second in exactas with his three main rivals, and in all money positions in the trifecta.

Running Totals: (152) 55-33-16. Total Dollar Return: $333.10 [win selections only]