Half this field can win, not in a lesser-than-evils way, but because there’s a lot of talented here. The four principals are Southern Prince, Emirates To Dubai, Silver Timber and Quietly Mine.
Southern Prince is the most versatile speedster here, turf or dirt, and is racing in raging form, as has most of Gary Contessa’s strong all year. With his inside draw and excellent early foot, budding star Channing Hill can establish position and try to blow this open at the top of the stretch.
Emirates To Dubai was raging with run when trapped in a pocket on the fence in the G3 Shakertown at Keeneland and never, ever, had a chance. He will benefit from that season’s debut, retains Garrett Gomez, owns a big late running engine and broke his maiden under these condition in his lone Belmont turf-sprint start. But deep closers, even on turf, still need a bit of luck. Saeed bin Suroor does very well in these non-graded events.
Silver Timber also should benefit from his season’s debut while just missing on this course, over which he has compiled a worthy (5) 2-1-1 slate under these conditions. Very interesting to note that this five-year-old was entered and scratched from a sprint stakes on the Preakness undercard in favor of this spot. Rice horses win at a favorable 20 percent rate in their second start after a layup and the hard-hitter attracts Cornelio Velasquez.
Quietly Mine makes his four-year-old debut for the top return outfit of turf ace Christopher Clement. Another deep closer, he was competitive in graded stakes at three in California while competing against older horses--not an easy task in turf sprints, especially for late-rally types. The talented Alan Garcia picks up the mount and this gelding was in training at Payson Park this winter before shipping up north. He won’t be short of condition.
Taking Southern Prince to win at 7-2 or greater, and keying him first and second in trifectas with his three main rivals here.
Running Totals: (207) 66-44-24. Total Dollar Return: $409.00 [win selections only]