Quick: What do all members of the six-horse Rare Treat have in common? Right, none have a win at the 9-furlong distance. In fact, only one of the older fillies even has experience going this far.

What to do? The next best thing. The surface probably will be wet, damp at minimum. Then theres those who race well, or have inexperience, over the winter track. But there are too many in this very trappy contest, in which the four fastest females all figure very closely.

Aliysa (5-2) is 5-for-6 on wet tracks and first and second in two inner track starts, but shes coming back a little quick, 22 days. Runway Rosie (4-1) also does very well over wet and inner track surfaces but shes coming back even sooner and is a little short on the dams side of her pedigree. Then theres Wild Hoots (3-1) with her extremely fast figures going shorter at Laurel. A pair of double tops now changing venues in 28 days, a lot to ask from a filly.

Obviously, this leaves us with the favorite, Stage Luck (9-5), who has the most upside being second off a layoff, a newly gained four-year-old maturity, a strong determination to win and, most significantly, is 42 days fresh.

Not everyone will rush to the lead but theres a lot of speed signed on here, making this a riders race. Dont like those kind of race where happenstance; who gets the best ride, the best trip, wins. Of those, Aliysa seems like the prime suspect. But Stage Luck closed fiercely to win her last when all appeared lost. The lightly raced Albertrani trainee looks like she wants to be a racehorse.

Taking Stage Luck to win, at 2-1 or greater, and exacta and trifecta key boxes with Aliysa and Wild Hoots.

Running Totals: (178) 62-37-20. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]