Today’s feature has a rare condition for this circuit: for horses that broke their maiden for $50,000 or less and which have not won a race other than maiden or claiming. It’s very difficult, consequently, to get a line on who fits these conditions best when matching up rivals.
We’ll concentrate on two: returnee Lady Limit (4-1) and Moneypenny (3-1). First, the favorite.
Looks like the line-maker found this race challenging, too. He chose a filly that won her last race--not inconsequential in this group--earned a good performance figure but we believe, most significantly, that the filly is coming off a recent Gary Contessa claim, a profitable 20 percent angle for this outfit. Her late kick fits the race shape well but whether she can replicate her good route figure turning back is problematical.
Lady Limit, a fast filly coming off a layup from a good return outfit, that of trainer Billy Badgett, is intriguing because she has the most upside. Hard to get a line on her turf debut, her first start at 3 and at five furlongs where here early fractions were very quick. She figured to tire and did.
Today she comes off a 12-week layup with a series of bullet and near-bullet workouts in tow. She certainly owns enough turf pedigree to be effective, has improved with maturity, is well drawn and attracts the streaking Eibar Coa. Most encouraging was he ability to change to a stalking style that resulted in a lifetime best effort. Given recuperative time by her new trainer, she looks set for best here.
Taking Lady Limit to win at 7-2 or greater and an exacta box with Moneypenny.
Running Totals: (114) 40-27-13. Dollar Return: $130.00 [win selections only]