The post time favorite is nearly certain to be Sweet Goodbye (5-2), shipping in looking to extend her winning streak to six. She has excellent early speed, can carry it, and has enough pedigree to stretch out to a mile and quarter. Trainer Christopher Gove has compiled a fine record in non-graded stakes. Regular rider JD Acosta is up from Maryland for the ride.
An interesting filly is surface lover Runway Rosie, a four-year-old who’s won half her six starts on this ground with two seconds. Of greater significance is that her best performance figures were earned over it as well. Rajiv Maragh, on a tear of late, is her steady partner and she has won when fresh. The problem might be that the layup is not a particular strength of the Contessa. It might be worth finding out at anything near early line odds.
But we’re going back to Weathered (3-1), even if she returns on only one day rest. That’s no typo: one day rest. It’s been done successfully before. A horse named No Bias did it back in the 80s. She has tactical speed, is rugged as they come, has a two sided pedigree for the added ground and trainer Karl Grusmark is a worthy 2-for-11 with horses returning on less than five days rest. Given these conditions, she’s not the kind of horse that figures to get an overwhelming amount of mutuel support.
Taking Weathered to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her first and second in exactas with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (327) 98-67-44. Total Dollar Return: $686.90 [win selections only]