The fastest horse and most probable winner is Just Starting (8-5), 3-for-5 since moving to the NYRA circuit and will be saddled by Anthony Dutrow’s assistant, Dove Houghton. The five-year-old mare is consistently the fastest on performance figures and owns the best pace figures as well, a formidable combination.
The good/bad news is that she gets in lighter today at 116 pounds, most of it apprentice Jose Bracetty. Thus far, no one has accused the seven-pound bug with Joe Talamo, and his low winning percentage testimony to that perception. Here, it will be a case of go to the front and improve your position.
The interesting filly, and our call, goes to the Nick Zito-trained Debbie Got Even (4-1). After going 2-for-2 early in her juvenile year, she has been most disappointing in 2007 with a far from stellar South Florida campaign. But she returns to the New York circuit today where she could find the deeper surface to her liking and tries this distance for the first time.
The hope is that early line favorite Dixie Dawn (7-5), another filly with early speed and good figures, will find enough zip from her inside post to pressure the faster favorite, setting the table for Debbie’s late run. Working strongly, the Zito trainee picks up Garrett Gomez for the first time. He should be focused, given the abuse he’s taken recently for his Belmont ride on Hard Spun.
Taking Debbie Got Even to win at 7-2 or more, and an exacta box with Just Starting and Dixie Dawn.
Running Totals: (38) 17-9-7. Dollar Return: $89.80 [does not reflect Wednesday’s results].