Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred
Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly
"On the Line" column and daily blogs under the
"Pricci's Morning Line" banner.
Thursday, May 30, 2013
Danny White Roses Loves Mott’s Filly
Today's featured two turner on turf in the day's 8th fron Belmont Park is for non-winners of 2 lifers but it's conceivable some of the entrants will be competing in named races by season's end.
Anyway, one of those is the Christophe Clement favorite, Tabreed (5-2), who made a strong 4YO and U.S. debut when second to Strathnaver, a repeater who is already in stakes company. She likely ill be much shorter than 5-2 ante post.
White Rose (7-2) is meeting her elders, has improved for Bill Mott and really impresed visually earlier this season demonstrating a big turn of foot. Don't know if we'll see it again but may not need to if she can get away with her field instead of encountering trouble at the start. A lack of serious pace, an inside post and Johnny can help on that score. Further, we'll take the six pounds.
Taking White Rose to win at early line odds, an exacta box with the favorite, and adding recent maiden breaker Midnight Watch (4-1) and Waltzing Cat* (15-1) making U.S. debut for Weaver while adding Lasix.
* correction made 11:15 am
Number of Selections: 1324
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 405-250-202
Amount Wagered: $2,648 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,781.10
Profit to Date: $133.10
Written by John Pricci
Monday, May 27, 2013
Two Speeds + One Turn = Value Play
Would like to cash in the Met Mile just because it might be my favorite race run outside Kentucky.
There's no shortage of speed in here and they leave from posts 1 and 2. Too bad for them; a good thing for Mark Valeski (5-1). Two starts back he looked hopelessly boxed, finally shook loose and angled out sharply in midstretch and finished fast to win the G3 Mineshaft.
But when he came back for the G2 New Orleans Handicap, he found himself in the uncomfortably, unfamiliar role of stalker--not his best game--yet he beat all but the surging Graydar, giving him a battle past the sixteenth pole.
SInce then, the Larry Jones 4YO has been working bullets and returns to the scene of his most important win, the G2 Peter Pan, a one turn nine furlongs--one turn being the key. The table should be set nicely for Rosie to push the bottun when ready.
Taking Mark Valeski to win at 3-1 or greater, a key exacta box with DIscreet Dancer (6-1) and Surface loving Flat Out (5-2), and adding Sahara Sky (6-1) to the exotics mix.
Number of Selections: 1323
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 405-250-202
Amount Wagered: $2,646 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,781.10
Profit to Date: $135.10
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, May 26, 2013
Gallantry Is Beautiful
Today's Belmont featured allowances, the day's 9th, appears at first blush between two Lukas graduates; Pletcher and McLaughlin. However, since these two both have speed as their best game, are drawn inside, with Pletcher's Read The Reserach (3-1) picking up four pounds to 122 while Sister Slate (5-2) is comng off a career best Double Top.
We'll take a price shot with Belle Gallantry (12-1), coming off a New Pace Top, whose best figures have come at one mile and whose style should enable her to stay within hailing distance of the first two before attempting a successful late run. Further, she comes from a live May 3 race that already has produced a subsequent winner.
Taking Belle Gallantry to win at 8-1 or greater and quinellas with the two favorites.
Number of Selections: 1322
Number of Win-Place-Show Finishers: 405-250-202
Amount Wagered: $2,644 [to win only]
Total Dollar Return on Investment: $2,781.10
Profit to Date: $137.10
Written by John Pricci
