Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Friday, April 10, 2015


Reward Should Be Worth the Risque


Today's Big A feature presents a rare opportunity, a chance to find rare value in a short field, such is the competitive nature of the NW2/optional sprint at the hybrid distance of 6-1/2 furlongs.

Wavell Avenue is a worthy favorite. Freshened, the Chad Brown filly returns to her winning surface and trip with the conditioning to get it done at this tricky trip.

But it's Risqué Reality who intrigues more. Much more likely to produce value, Peter Pugh's miss also returns to a winning distance and surface.

In fact, she's never been beaten on the main track here, reunites with winning partner Cornelio Velasquez, and comes into this off a New Pace Top.

Taking Risqué Reality to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Wavell Avenue.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1721

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 519-331

Amount Wagered: $3,442 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,554.30

Profit to Date: $112.30

Written by John Pricci

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Thursday, April 09, 2015


Sometimes, You Just Gotta’ Believe


In today's Keeneland feature for 3YOs, must admit that Donworth is not a great bet--but just might be a great horse one day.

I'm only being half-facetious here; check out the replay of his extremely well meant debut for yourself. It was the kind of trip that will beat 99 of 100 horses.

His Pricci Energy Rating was highly competitive, too, and today's added distance and change of scenery will not be a deterrent, unless his debut was a complete mirage. Rather, we think it might be the tip of a rather large iceberg.

Taking Donworth to win, no price restrictions, and key-boxing in multiples with Pioneerof the West and Bluff, both dropping from recent stakes
incursions, and another impressive maiden breaker, Outlash.

Number of Selections since 2008: 1721

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 519-331

Amount Wagered: $3,442 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,554.30

Profit to Date: $112.30

Written by John Pricci

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Wednesday, April 08, 2015


Songsational KEE Feature: Proctor, Ped, Paco and Price


Today's Keeneland feature is a beauty, a NW2/optional in which half the field can win without having to stretch for clues. Typical Keeneland, really.

The 1-1/16 mile dirt route features the second start at 4 for Top Billing (3-1), a factor in last year's Fountain of Youth but inexplicably dull in his GP return, making him a tricky read.

Then there's Matrooh (7-2), wit a wow performance winning U.S. and dirt debut for Chad with authority beneath Javier but that was one turn in Hallandale, not two turns in Lexington.

So if we're going to project who might come up with his best effort today it's Songsational (6-1), even if he hasn't gone this far. But he's 2-for-2 lifetime at seven furlongs, no easy task, even against lesser at Tampa.

Subsequently have come two strong bullet works for Tom Proctor, breeding that says yes to added distance, and, in a perfect scenario, a clear, wide stalking trip just off the speed. What could be simpler?

Taking Songsational to win at 5-1 or greater, key boxing exactas with his two classy rivals above, and adding Jerald (8-1) and Cougar Ridge (8-1) to the super-exotics mix.


Number of Selections since 2008: 1720

Number of Win and Place Finishes: 519-331

Amount Wagered: $3,440 [to win only]

Total Dollar Return on Investment: $3,554.30

Profit to Date: $114.30

Written by John Pricci

Comments (2)


 
 

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