Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, May 21, 2010

Making Lemonade

With no race resembling a featured event at Belmont Park today, lets ships out to Arlington Heights where Arlington Park is hosting a twilight card. As such, the feature is scheduled for 8 p.m., so many of you might even get to see it.

It’s an interesting turf route for state-bred secondary allowances types at a mile and an sixteenth. The “now” horse is Where’s Winston (5-2), who’s in very good recent form , a key race winner last out, and well spotted with this group.

But the interesting horse is Lemonade Kid (3-1), whose been competitive in recent stakes and now returns for his five-year-old debut in a likely spot with turf ace James Graham in the boot.

Prepared at Keeneland, he’s returning for trainer Anthony Mitchell, a profitable 21 percent effect with layups of this type and also profitable for his career with all turf runners. Training with purpose, the course lover should show tactical speed as a fresh horse kicking home when ready.

Taking Lemonade Kid to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with Where’s Winston, recent claim Comelateleaveearly (6-1), owning good hidden turf form, late developing Lansing Blue (9-2) and Sam Owen coming off a sharp course score, albeit on soft ground.

Running Totals: (652) 205-132-91 Total Dollar Return: $1,434.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, May 20, 2010

Lemon Spice and Everything Nice

For a non-winners of 3 other-than, 75K open claimer, you’d think the stock in today’s Belmont turf feature would have been a little more accomplished. But when you look at the daily feature, you play the cards you’re dealt.

Would love to get a little sexy in here but there are just too many unknowables and not enough dependable form upon which to hang a handicapping hat. Hence, we’re consumed by logic in this spot.

Actually, there’s very little to dislike about early line choice Lemon Spice (5-2). Beaten only four lengths in a Grade 3 last out despite getting checked and steadied all over the lot, he makes his first start for young turf specialist Chad Brown, who also happens to be 25 percent effective with shippers and has gotten off to a good start at the meet.

Combine those factors with returning to his best distance (2-for-2), owning enough tactical speed to possibly take advantage of his rail position and reuniting with Javier Castellano, who rode him to his most recent victory two starts back, and it’s not difficult to see he’s the most probable winner.

Taking Lemon Spice to win at 9-5 or greater, key boxing him first and second in multiples with strong working Carson Hall (3-1), course loving Lemon Cream Pie (4-1) and quick working price shot Slambino (12-1).

Running Totals: (651) 205-131-91 Total Dollar Return: $1,434.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Have a Little Faith in Javier

Today’s feature for three-year-olds and Up is a preliminary allowances-optional claimer at a flat mile. It appears to be a two-horse affair between the two favorites and the preference is the one with the early line odds.

It’s easy to understand why Polished (2-1) is the linemaker’s early choice. Seeking his fourth straight score, half his lifetime wins have come at today’s distance, including one at a flat one-turn mile, he’s already shown improvement off the recent acquisition and trainer Rick Dutrow is a very worthy 30 percent with his repeaters.

However, the preference is for Clear Faith (5-2) who not only is also improving and equally talented on performance figures, but who holds a pace edge over his main rival, with a favorable position outside of him at this trip and attracts the resurgent Javier Castellano.

From his position, Castellano can either stalk or set the pace depending on the break, which should prove a strong tactical edge.

Taking Clear Faith to win at 2-1 or greater, and key boxing him in the multiples Clear Faith and Harmonizer (7-2), making his second start for trainer Mike Maker and switching to Garrett Gomez.

Running Totals: (650) 204-131-91 Total Dollar Return: $1,425.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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