Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, May 08, 2009
If the Weatherman Cooperates…
Interesting feature at Pimlico today, a 5-furlong turf sprint classified allowances that obviously must remain on the grass for this exercise to matter.
The horses that figure to attract the most attention at the windows are the classy, if often infirm, Street Magician, from the excellent layup barn of Michael Trombetta, and Disco Dandy, twice a winner under these conditions, and 1-for-1 at Pimlico.
But the most interesting, however, is Lycurgus, an older hard-hitting gelding who has done his best work in turf sprints.
The six-year-old gelding makes his second start off a layoff but, more significantly, his second off owner Michael Gill’s claim by trainer Christopher Grove, who happens to be a profitable 27 percent efficient with horses making their second start off a claim.
And that first start appeared to be for practice--6 furlongs on the dirt--considering his 3-for-11 at this distance on turf (5-for-34 doing anything else), and was second in as many starts on the Pimlico turf.
Jockey J D Acosta, on the re-ride here, fits this horse’s mid-pack closing style perfectly.
Taking Lycurgus to win at 3-1 or greater, boxing him in exactas with his two rivals here.
Running Totals: (420) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, May 07, 2009
Delosvientos Taking Advantage of What Belmont Park Offers Best
Under previous racing secretary’s, the NYRA never took full advantage of Belmont’s unique mile and a half surface. I know, I know, the races wouldn’t fill.
But today’s feature race, the Nasty N Bold did, and guess what? It attracted a nice group of horses.
The most accomplished marathoner is, of course, Delosvientos (7-5), and will be a very tough out. Now only is he 4-for-4 in such marathons and 2-for-2 over the track but he’s versatile, and his early speed in marathons is distinctly pro-profile for this track.
Trainer Giuseppe Iadisernia has done a marvelous job keeping the six-year-old in peak form and jockey Kendry Castillo rides him like he owns him.
Worthy exotics inclusions are Atoned (4-1), Eldaafer (12-1) and Alcamo (3-1).
Atoned is a graded stakes winner bred for distance and a wet track, if that’s the case, and goes for the Pletcher-Velazquez team with a recent bullet work in his PPs.
Eldaafer has turned out to be an excellent claim for John Toscano. He’s won two of three starts since haltered, is an A.P. Indy 4-year-old gelding possessing upside, and goes for his second start under Jorge Chavez.
Alcomo look like the most obvious threat to the favorite. He’s a win machine with a 7-for-17 slate, was a good second in his U.S. debut at Hawthorne after a long layup, and won going long in his native Brazil under staggering imposts.
Note that trainer Eduardo Caramori has been one of the most effective and underrated trainers in the game who must be respected whenever and wherever he shows up.
Taking Delosvientos to win, no price restrictions, an exacta box with Alcomo, and keying him first and second in trifectas with his rivals mentioned above.
Running Totals: (419) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only] (Wednesday’s results not included)
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Finding Pick SIx Gold on SIlver Mountain
With a huge carryover available thanks to Mine That Bird and friends on Derby day, a look at the Churchill past performances lead to a strong contender and possible Pick Six single in the feature race, a money allowances at 11 furlongs on the turf.
Silver Mountain won under these exact conditions last year beneath Miguel Mena, so it’s fitting there’s a rider switch to Mena in his return to the Kentucky circuit.
Trainer Tom Proctor has a terrific record with these types and four-year-old comes off good Keeneland try, mid-race moving into contention and holding fairly well in the late stages for third.
With that conditioning and turning back in his return to a winning scenario dictates a play. Don’t expect to get rich unless, of course, you’re correct in the five surrounding races.
Taking Silver Mountain to win at 2-1 or greater and in an exacta with classy old pro My Happiness (6-1), whose trainer Bobby Barnett is getting horses to outrun their odds of late.
Running Totals: (419) 128-87-55 Total Dollar Return: $872.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci