Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, January 28, 2010
A Walk in the Park
Conditions are such that we could have chosen either the third or eighth races on the Gulfstream turf for today’s feature. We opted for the third because of prevailing conditions and price considerations.
Because, after all, why shouldn’t Afternoon Stroll (6-1) do just that, given the lack of standout pace in this matchup?
This sharp working Tim Hamm-trained four-year-old has upside on the newly turned 4-year-old angle, has earned the fastest performance figure and, with Johnny Velazquez, should set a comfortable tempo, stalking comfortably should that need arise.
But given her state of freshness, the trainer’s solid success percentage with these types, the early-line odds are just too tempting to pass up.
Taking Afternoon Stroll to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Forest Trail (3-1) from the live McGaughey shed.
Running Totals: (582) 182-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,253.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Maker’s Filly Looks Sweet at GP
Given a rare dark Wednesday in New York, our focus shifts south for the Gulfstream Park feature, a conditioned allowance optional claiming sprint at 5 furlongs for fillies and mares on the turf.
These vents, of course, feature turf-sprint specialists, especially at the prevailing distance. While many of these have enjoyed success under these conditions, including favorites Summer Flight (3-1) and Streamin Heat (4-1), it’s Candy Cane (6-1) that intrigues most.
Michael Maker has well documented success when shipping from venue to venue, and while this filly is winless on turf, she has won on the synthetics and earned the top performance figure under these conditions in November at Churchill Downs.
Prior to shipping to SoFla, Candy Cane tuned up for this setting a very hot pace on the Turfway Polytrack, which should set her up perfectly for a return to grass, which appears to be her preferred surface.
At early line odds, it’s worth finding out if Julien Leparoux can guide her home. This appears to be a perfect spot, especially at today’s reduced level.
Taking Candy Cane to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with her main rivals here.
Running Totals: (581) 181-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,246.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Nick and Johnny Go for GP Hat Trick
Tired of the small fields in NY, thought the pickings at GP today would be better. They are, not by all that much, but certainly there’s enough quality on hand in South Florida to at least make looking at the PPs interesting.
Today’s feature is sans name, it’s a monied non-winners of three optional claimer going a flat mile featuring three strong contenders; the returning Just A Coincidence (9-5), the sharp Birdrun (2-1), entered Main-Track-Only yesterday and the streaking class climber Caixa Eletronica (4-1).
The three are difficult to separate on performances figures since they’re all virtually the same horse. But it’s gets a little easier considering ‘Caixa’ is winless at the distance and on this track; his best form has been cross town a Calder.
Birdrun is the logical favorite. He’s always run well on this track and at this trip, even if winless under those circumstances, and was a good second over the ground three weeks ago. His best figures have been earned under those conditions.
While Just A Coincidence is the early line favorite, the hunch is the crowd will go for Birdrun since this newly turned four year old hasn’t run since last April, when fourth in the Withers.
But prior to that, it was back to back wins here at the distance and a very worthy third in I Want Revenge’s Wood Memorial. We’re hoping the layoff will be worth a couple of ticks on the tote. Nicely drawn in post 4, race riding Johnny V. can play this one off the break. This team is 2-for-4 at the present meet.
Taking Just A Coincidence to win at 8-5 or greater, keying him first and second in the multiples with his two rivals here.
Running Totals: (580) 181-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,246.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci