Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Speed and Power in the Hutch

Today's featured race at Gulfstream Park is The G2 Hutcheson Stakes, one of four graded stakes on the afternoon.

Thunder Moccasin (7-5) won an extremely impressive debut with authority, earning an excellent figure with laudable energy distribution. Ever So Lucky has missed a bit of training with foot bruise but was an impressive juvenile for Hall of Famer Sheppard; do not underestimate talented colt but it doesn't seem prudent to take him at a short price.

Of the possible money horses, Il Villano followed series of pace tops with a lifetime best figure. He returns with good spacing and will be running late here. Fast developing Quick Wit never has taken a backward step and attracts Dominguez. Using all three beneath Thunder Moccasin in the exotics.

Running Totals: (1023) 316-203-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, February 09, 2012

Speed Kills

I's not often we're excited to bet on a horse that's 7-5 on the early line and heading west to Santa Anita to do so (I have a day job back East) but when a hyped favorite is 4-5 and likely to be as low as 2-5 at post time, you've got to take the second favorite at quoted odds--especially if you believe it has a big edge in today's second race. And we think that's the case with Consulado (7-5).

After debuting with an opening good-figure Compression Line at Hollywood Park, it returned on dirt at Santa Anita with a competitive figure win, coming in here off a New Pace Top. Indeed, it's stretching out to one mile today but the Mike Puype runner owns enough pedigree for the task and figures to dominate the early pace beneath the aggressive David Flores.

The Bob Baffert trained Fed Biz is the worthy favorite and a well regarded Triple Crown contender. But we're betting, once again, that speed will kill.

Running Totals: (1021) 316-202-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Of Glamour, Glory and Guts

Interesting turf feature drawing a large field of three year old fillies going a mile and a sixteenth to begin the Gulfstream week. The early line favorite is the rapid working Dancing Solo (3-1) from the prolific Pletcher barn whose simply just raining up a storm at Palm Meadows.

But there was little in her turf debut at Saratoga last summer indicating she was something special on that surface; consequently she’s worth trying to beat. Of the three fillies that might prove a viable option, it’s Glamour And Glory that has the best upset potential despite her wide draw.

In her five race career, the filly never has taken a backward step on either surface and her last on turf was excellent as she refused to be compromised by the slow pace. We wish the spacing were a bit more in her favor but we’ll overlook that as turf is less demanding than dirt and her outside draw always assuredly will allow her to offer value.

Taking Glamour And Glory to win at 9-2 or greater and keying her in multiples with the favorite, the interesting price shot Hearts of Red (10-1) and the late finishing EZPZ Lemon Squeeze (12-1).

Running Totals: (1021) 316-202-148 Total Dollar Return: $2,182.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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