Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, April 01, 2012

Property Values Up This Weekend in New Orleans

The second meaningful Kentucky Derby prep takes place in the Bayou with the closing day Fair Grounds feature, the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby.

The two favorites, Mark Valeski (2-1), coupled in the Jones Boys entry with Mr. Bowling, and Cigar Street (7-2) are deserving favorites.

Mark Valeski, in fact, night have won the G2 Risen Star with a courageous narrow loss after getting involved in the bumping match with the winning El Padrino who had the advantage of outside position throughout the long stretch run.

Cigar Street is one of those 3-year-olds that has quickly come to hand, following up an energy efficient effort in his sprint debut followed by a double-digits score going two turns over the ground on March 10.

He could be anything, but then is a very tall order, going from the maiden ranks into Grade 2 company while stretching to a demanding 9 furlongs.

The horse that peaks our interest is Shared Property (10-1) who, after an extremely wide trip try in his season’s debut, the LeComte, he suffered through a moderately paced Risen Star while losing ground once again.

Since that effort, trainer Tom Amoss has added blinkers and the colt responded with two sensational morning moves.

Add the fact that Amoss is a worthy and profitable 33% efficient with third-off-the-layup runners and moves closer to the rail off two wide draws, settling into the middle of the bulky pack. His late running style suits the race shape nicely.

We’ll take Shared Property to win at 6-1 or greater and key-boxing him in exotics with the two favorites and Rousing Sermon (6-1) who should benefit from today’s conditions shipping East for Hollandorfer with strong finishing Mike Smith timing his late run.

Running Totals: (1055) 325-207-155 Total Dollar Return: $2,239.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, March 31, 2012

State of the Union

Finally, Florida Derby day. Happy 61st Birthday, Run for the Orchids!

Everyone knows how important a Kentucky Derby prep this has been in recent years, thanks especially to the Palm Meadows training center for that. Only one historical stat for you: Forty Fla. Derby entrants in the first 60 runnings have won a total of 55 Triple Crown races, including 21 Kentucky Derbies.

Additionally, everyone knows how good a colt Union Rags (6-5) is. What no one knows, with the possible exceptions of Michael Matz and Peter Brette, how just how good. Back to everyone; we all should have some idea after tomorrow. I think he's absolutely the real deal, on the brink of becoming recognized as a great horse. To use the word great, however, let's see how tomorrow and the Derby, Preakness and Belmont turn out first.

So as they say, I can't beat him and stubbornly refuse to try. Worse, El Padrino (2-1) is the one he has to beat. After that, it's Take Charge Indy (5-1). As Clemenza once said of a pistol, "it's as cold as the make 'em."

Taking Union Rags to win, no price restrictions, and keying him first in seconds and trifectas with El Padrino and Take Charge Indy.

Running Totals: (1053) 325-206-154 Total Dollar Return: $2,239.60 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Friday, March 30, 2012

By the Shores of Boynton Beach

Gulfstream Park Race 7 March 30

Today’s feature is a non-winners of 3-optional claiming for older fillies and mares going a mile and all the major contenders are coming off layups. What to do? Opt for the one which has shown a preference for the course and/or the trip.

The mare who neatly fits that bill is Gitchee Goomie (5-2). After a two month freshening on the sides, the 5-year-old mare got back into light training in early January and hasn’t missed a beat since at her Palm Meadows base.

The 5-year-old Rick Violette-trained miss has had but 15 starts in her career so there are not many wasted races, and she consistent performer obviously likes what she’s doing, given a career slate of (15) 5-7-1.

New rider Rajiv Maragh is quietly having a good meet and the mare owns a (3) 1-1-0 career record at the distance and took her only start on this ground.

Taking Gitchee Goomie to win at 2-1 or greater, and keying her in exotics with the sharp Salary Drive (4-1) and capable returnees Sassy’s Dream (8-1) and Pinch Pie (3-1).

Running Totals: (1053) 325-206-154 Total Dollar Return: $2,239.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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