Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Wednesday, December 15, 2010


My Guess Is That Peppi Knows


It’s obvious to anyone with a set of past performances that Monsignor (8-5) will be a tough out in today’s overnight Cosmic Bob Stakes, shipping in for Todd Pletcher from Churchill. We’ve seen this act before. However, we believe he is likely to be overbet, odds on when they open the gate.

Instead, we’ll opt for the only sophomore that has winter track experience, Peppi Knows (4-1).

In this race replete with, and shaping up, for mid-race movers, his rail position and tactical speed might come in quite handy, establishing the pocket trip before moving when he gets his cue.

Among the fastest in this group on performance figures, there’s no arguing with his class credentials as the winner of the Whirlaway Stakes here last season. It won’t be easy but the price should be fair.

Taking Peppi Knows to win at 3-1 or greater and key boxing his first and second in multiples with Monsignor and fast working Teaks North. For five horses, this is one interesting group.

Running Totals: (777) 248-161-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,729.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Tuesday, December 14, 2010


Sophia Is One Fresh Filly


An interesting non-winners of 3 allowances despite the short field at Parx with questionable track conditions owning to a forecast of possible snow showers.

Each of the six have the credentials to win this but none are without warts, whether the filly is turning back with quicker, or coming back too soon, not fitting the race shape, etc., etc.

While she obviously has issues, having run four times now as a late season 4-year-old, Sophia (4-1) has much going for her. Her pace figures, while not dominant, are superior to the group, looming her as the speed of the speed and her final figures are competitive.

Further, she’s 3-for-4 lifetime, one for one over the ground, and she won both her maiden and off a year’s layoff, indicating the time to get her is when she’s fresh. Add to that the fact trainer Steve Klesaris is a very worthy 27 percent with layups of 90 days or longer and it all adds up.

Taking Sophia to win at 5-2 or greater, and keying her first and second in multiples with Bernadette’s Song (2-1) and Weeper (6-1).

Running Totals: (777) 248-161-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,729.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Saturday, December 11, 2010


Cowboy Up in Queens County


Today’s Queens County has a small but interesting field, providing an opportunity to beat the favorite(s).

There are two choices of which Modern Cowboy (5-2) looms the most probable winner. As a late developing three-year-old, this horse keeps marching forward and, despite the rise in class, there’s no reason for that trend to stop here.

Owning tactical speed and kick and nicely drawn in this short field given the pace dynamics, I expect Johnny V. will sit covered up behind the speed until ready.

And, as this is mid-December, getting at least six pounds from the major contenders is not insignificant. Todd Pletcher seldom gets overly aggressive and when he shows confidence, as he is doing here, expect a strong effort.

Taking Modern Cowboy to win at 2-1 or better and key boxing him first and second in exactas and trifectas with sharp, New Pace Top Seniors Pride (8-1) and the classy Arson Squad (8-5) from the rail for Dutrow and Dominguez.

Running Totals: (776) 248-161-107 Total Dollar Return: $1,729.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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