Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.



Wednesday, October 20, 2010


Patience As a Profitable Virtue


Today’s featured G3 Sycamore for older horses going a mile and a half on turf could as easily be called the Old Geezers. The early favorite, the redoubtable Cloudy’s Knight (5-2) is 10; Brass Hat is 9; Musketier 8; Presious Passion is 7, as is Yate’s Black Cat.

Making his second start off a layup is Cloudy’s Knight and has been pointed toward this by Jonathan Sheppard, looking for a repeat Sycamore score with Rosie Homeister, his regular rider.

But Musketier (5-1) not only offers better value but is a fascinating horse in the way he’s been handled by Roger Attfield, having his best season, maybe ever. A two-time winner at the route, including the G2 Elkhorn here this spring, is coming off a 181-day layup, not unlike the 202 layoff he had prior to the Elkhorn.

Obviously he has his issues but it’s amazing that he would be handled in such a fascinating manner, and clearly the horse and horseman are clearly up to pulling this off. He has some tactical speed and Johnny Velazquez should be able to secure position in a bulky field that boasts a surprising amount of early speed on paper.

Taking Musketier to win at 4-1 or greater and exacta boxes with Cloudy’s Knight and Solitaire (30-1), another specialist pointed to this by Jimmy Bond, a marathon winner second to the classy Spice Route at this distance in Woodbine for a Saratoga based trainer who’s a profitable 25 percent efficient whenever he ships.

[Ed. Note: Cloudy's Knight has been declared and was retired. Staying with Musketier, lowering the win price parameter to 5-2.]

Running Totals: (746) 240-156-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Tuesday, October 19, 2010


Mining for Gold


Given a forecast for clear skies on Long Island Wednesday we’re looking at the featured overnight Scoot Stakes for fillies and mares on the inner turf at 10 furlongs.

With none of the entrants showing a clear preference for off ground, we’re sticking with the current form and will take any value offered on early third favorite Gold D’oro (4-1).

The late developing four year old has twice won at the trip in front running style over this ground and has drawn the rail in a relatively paceless field while attracting leading rider Ramon Dominguez.

The filly not only has retained her form but a recent sharp breeze on the Belmont training track in preparation for this indicates that more of the same can be expected.

Taking Gold D’oro to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Queen Martha (3-1), going dirt for turf for Patrick Biancone, a profitable 28 percent scenario.

Running Totals: (745) 240-155-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

Monday, October 18, 2010


No Pace? Don’t Worry Be Happy


An interesting, albeit trappy feature at Parx today, a “three other/than optional claimers at six furlongs, six horses trained by virtually every 25 percent trainer in the Delaware Valley.

Most interesting is the fact that on the past performance page, not a single horse has won going wire to wire; close, but not by definition. That makes it a rider’s race, meaning any choice would be an educated guess in terms of how the race develops.

Our best play is to side with perennial leading rider Frankie Pennington and trainer Anthony Dutrow, a highly successful team at this venue. Second favorite Happy Bull (3-1) looks solid.

In fact, Pennington and Dutrow are 4 for their last 12 starters while the trainer is a stunning 7-for-13 with his Delaware shippers into Parx. But most significant is that this four-year-old is forward looking on performance figures; even a repeat of either of his last two would be good enough here.

The Parx linemaker priced this field anywhere from 5-2 to 6-1 on the rank outsider, it’s that wide open.

Taking Happy Bull to win at 2-1 or greater.


Running Totals: (745) 240-155-100 Total Dollar Return: $1,653.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci



 
 

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