Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Tuesday, March 09, 2010

When In the Windy City….

The thing about the new Tuesday through Saturday schedule is the opportunity to look at tracks from different parts of the country. Today’s foray takes us to Cicero, Illinois for the allowance feature at Hawthorne, which provide not only at chance to defeat the likely post time favorite but perhaps find value in the multiple pools despite the short field.

The early favorite for today’s fifth race is recent maiden breaker On The Sneak (2-1), for the 31% at the meet barn of Larry Rivelli. And given his top figure opening Equiform Compression Line would be an almost automatic choice. But coming back on 17 days rest we believe leaves him a bit vulnerable despite his perceived advantage.

Then, when you factor in that jockey LaSala abandons him to ride the returning Windy City Cat (5-2) for Wayne Catalano, the gelding who broke maiden beneath LaSala over this surface, adds to the intrigue. Further, he’s coming in off an improved effort given a New Pace Top with sufficient rest and a sharp recent blowout and we have the makings of a minor upset.

Taking Windy City Cat at 2-1 or greater and making a 2x3 exacta and trifecta part-wheel of Windy City Cat and On The Sneak first with those two and sharp-working Prairie Breeze (8-1) for second and third.

Running Totals: (609) 189-124-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, March 06, 2010

Waters Not Too Deep for Kettle River

Today’s sub-feature--but significant Kentucky Derby prep--on the Santa Anita Handicap card is the Grade 3 Sham for three year olds at nine furlongs.

After taking a second look following the re-draw of last week’s canceled stakes, the conclusion is basically the same; that Kettle River will be hell to pay here.

Since debuting in a Saratoga sprint last summer, he’s found a home out West, breaking his maiden on Hollywood turf then transferring that good form onto Santa Anita’s Pro Ride.

What was interesting about that allowance score is that he seemed to move a tad prematurely yet still showed the class and determination to hang on for the win in his surface debut.

Subsequently, he’s returned to work strongly and boasts a pedigree that will welcome today’s added sixteenth of a mile. Before we start knocking Brice Blanc, who’s riding at 5 percent for the meet, consider he’s 2-for-2 on the Eoin Harty colt and his presence insures fair odds.

Taking Kettle River to win and place at 6-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (607) 189-124-84 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


Friday, March 05, 2010

Race Over Course Favors Mahindar

I’m willing to gamble that in today’s allowance feature at Tampa Bay Downs, featuring three-year-old fillies sprinting 6-½ furlongs, the linemaker has made the wrong favorite. At least I hope so.

Actually, Island Time (8-5) can’t be ignored. Certainly not off a top figure score at Gulfstream Park, attracting leading rider Centeno, and hailing from an outfit, Jason Servis, that’s 2-for-4 shipping in this meet.

Instead, we’ll err in favor of winning races over the track, an added sixteenth of a mile that could help her and compromise the favorite, the presence of Rosemary Homeister Jr. and the sharp recent work indicating that Mahindar (2-1) could not be in better form.

Taking Mahindar to win at 2-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Island Time.

Running Totals: (607) 189-124-84 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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