Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, November 13, 2009
A Cure for Those Chalky Blues
Today’s Aqueduct feature is a non-winners of four lifetime allowances/optional claimer for older turf horses going a mile.
Lemon Cream Pie (5-2) is a deserving early favorite on the strength of his pacesetting placing in the recent G3 Knickerbocker Handicap. But he really had no excuses given the moderate pace at a longer distance. This will be a much tougher test.
On the early line, and given his recent past performances, Blues Street (6-1) is a worthy play at bettable odds. As a five year old gelding, he’s just coming into his own for Todd Pletcher. His performance figures are solid and competitive and he owns four wins at the distance and his lone start over this surface.
Blues Street is versatile enough to gain early position if Johnny Velazquez elects, or he can make one run, which is no less an effective style. A handler of any footing, Pletcher is 23 percent effective when removing blinkers, the scenario here.
Taking Blues Street to win at 5-1 or greater in this grass event and keying him first and second in exotics with Broad River (3-1), Yield Bogey (10-1) and the aforementioned Lemon Cream Pie.
Running Totals: (541) 164-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Always Love Value
Today’s Sabin overnight Stakes, scheduled for 1-1/16th miles on the turf for fillies and mares has drawn a sizable and well balanced field. As such, we’re going for the gusto. First, the logical types.
Sea Chanter (3-1) is a worthy early line favorite. She’s consistently fastest on performance figures, has the ability to get position if Johnny Velazquez elects, and as a late season four-year-old still might have some development remaining.
Chestoria (7-2) has been a hall mark of consistency, owns competitive figures, is nicely drawn inside with Dominguez and has a strong late kick. Trainer Bill Badgett, enjoying a resurgent season, is 3-for-4 at the current meet through Monday’s races.
But it’s Always For Love (8-1) that’s most intriguing, especially at early line odds. First, she owns early zip to gain position from an outside slip, worked well at her Philadelphia base, attracts regular partner Victor Molina, a talented turf rider, owns competitive figures, handles any footing and won her only start over this course at this time last year. Her outside draw almost insures more than bettable odds.
Taking Always For Love to win at 8-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exactas with her rivals here.
Running Totals: (540) 164-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Back in a New York State of Mind
The New York racing week begins with the overnight In Her Glory Stakes for fillies and mares three-year-olds and up sprinting six furlongs.
The obvious favorite is Tar Heel Mom (1-1) coming off a comprehensive wet track victory at The Meadowlands. With the promise of rain in the forecast, she is likely to get her favored conditions today, seeking her fourth victory in seven wet track starts.
And did I mention she’s the fastest filly on performance figures? Significantly faster? She should be the public’s choice.
Still, Stan Hough’s filly is likely to regress, given her recent effort and short rest, especially tough on a filly and is worth trying to upset.
We’re taking Distorted Passion (7-2), a filly who was graded stakes placed and which earned competitive figures last winter and spring. She lacks wet track experience but reunites with Rajiv Maragh and boasts a two-sided wet track pedigree. She’s been training steadily and purposefully for her return.
Taking Distorted Passion to win at 5-2 or greater, and boxing her in the exacta with Tar Heel Mom and a talented returnee, three-year-old Rock Candy (10-1).
Running Totals: (539) 164-106-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,139.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci