Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Recency Over Freshness

Today’s featured Adirondack Holme comes down to a matter of freshness ands recency. Usually, we’re err on the side of freshness; not today.

Besides, perhaps Groomedforvictory (5-2), making its first start for the white hot Dutrow barn, is much better at Gulfstream, as his figures indicate. And it’s been a long time since the claim, but an interesting spot following a layoff.

We need to take Johannesburg Smile (3-1), which mightnot be a Big A Specialist but is a true miler and was a very good conditioning-gaining third in the recent Empire Classic at 9 furlongs and retains Castellano.

Taking Johannesburg Smile to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him in the exacta with the Dutrow runner and price shot Writingonthewall (20-1), back at his best distance and 1-for-1 over the track.

Running Totals: (968) 300-193-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,068.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, November 19, 2011

My Kingdom for a Princess

There are but five words missing from the race conditions when Delta Downs runs its signature event this afternoon, the $1 million Delta Jackpot. Those words are “Derby Win and You’re In.” It is after all, a Grade 3 event.

However, we’re going to try to get alive into the Delta Jackpot by keying a filly in the Delta Princess, which goes as the 6th race on the card.

Since claiming Citizen Advocate (7-2) for $40,000 earlier this season, every button trainer David Vivian has pushed has rung the bell; 4-for-4 including an all important winning race over the track.

The one-mile two turn trip will be a test for all of them, especially those without routing experience. While her pedigree might raise some questions, her gameness and development does not. Luis Jurado rides her like he owns her.

Taking Citizen Advocate to win at 3-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Now I Know (9-2), whose pedigree also might be suspect but not her ability (4-for-4 lifetime) or connections (Donnie Von Hemel).

Running Totals: (967) 300-193-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,068.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, November 18, 2011

A Star Is Born

One can onlyhope that troday's featured eighth race from the Big A remains on the turf as the ultra competitive field offers arare opportunity to value at fair odds. Any one of six fillies could win this: Settling Seas (7-2), Mystic City (3-1), One Last Dance (10-1), Alluring Power (12-1), Star Torina (5-1) and RaceTuUrga (2-1) It's the second-to-last miss that is really interesting.

Following a Delayed Turf Decline Line two back, the filly came back to show strong early speed on the main track subsequently--run right off her feet in a race that produced a next-out winner from two starters. Bill Mott pushing all the right buttons these days, and obviously has enjoyed great success this year when tapping Lezcano's services.

Taking Star Torina towin at 5-1 or greater and keying her first and second in multiples with those rivals listed here.

Running Totals: (966) 300-193-139 Total Dollar Return: $2,068.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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