Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Sunday, April 22, 2012

Don’t Be Foolish, Take Wise Dan

What a nice race for the final Sunday of Keeneland Spring. It’s the Ben Ali a Grade 3 sporting some top talent including the favorite Wise Dan (7-5), that’s going to be a very tough out.

Normally we’d look to beat highweights (spotting 5 pounds to the field) making the first start of the year especially at short odds.

But when they’re fastest on performance figures sport higher graded credentials, love the surface, attracts Johnny Velazquez and make their seasonal debut for Charlie Lopresti, a worthy 32% profitable with 90 day-plus layoffs, it’s reasonable to expect a strong effort, even in a layup situation.

Need more convincing? Wise Dan has had two starts at 9 furlongs, and won them both. Further, it is widely believed that geldings come into their own physically at 5. Happy birthday to all.

Taking Wise Dan to win with no price restrictions and keying him in multiples with Guys Reward (10-1)-Romans profitable going turf to synthetics-and the sharp working Ioya Big Time (10-1). Super exotic players can add distance loving Cease (3-1) to the mix.

Running Totals: (1065) 327-209-158 Total Dollar Return: $2,255.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, April 21, 2012

Save the Last Dance for Thee

For a detailed look at today's final two Triple Crown preps, see Pricci Morning Line on the lead page

Running Totals: (1065) 327-209-158 Total Dollar Return: $2,255.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, April 20, 2012

Beat the Favorite? I Doubledogdare Ya’

Today’s Keeneland feature, the Grade 3 Doubledogdare, older fillies and mares going 1 1/16th miles on Polytrack is well named.

On figures, the consistently fast Pachattack (9-5) is a layover with anything close to her top effort; further given her freshness, style and strong Fair Hill works, she easily could be controlling speed here.

But this is a legitimate Grade 1 mare that’s just getting started in her 6-year-old season; how important can this race be beyond, well, just getting started? Second in the G1 Spinster and third in the BC Filly & Mare Classic, she goes first time for Graham Motion here.

La Gran Bailadora (5-1) never has failed to improve in her second start off the layoff, has worked purposefully at her CDT base and her lifetime best effort came over this ground last fall, when third in the same Spinster. Reuniting with Corey Lanerie, she appears very well meant.

Taking La Gran Bailadora to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her in exotics with the favorite and horse for course Sea Level Drive (10-1), making her third start off the layup for Rusty Arnold who traditionally does well at this meet.

Running Totals: (1064) 327-209-157 Total Dollar Return: $2,255.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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