Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

He’ll Win From Here to…

Today’s feature at the Spa, being run as the fifth race, is the Troy Stakes for 3-year-olds and older males sprinting 5-1/2 furlongs on the Mellon Turf Course.

It’s basically a three-horse race on paper among Bridgetown (8-5), Perfect Officer (3-1) and Regally Ready (7-2). There’s no reason to believe that it won’t be one of those three that will be there at the line.

Bridgetown is a worthy favorite. Todd Pletcher has had him going great guns for three seasons now. The 5-year-old Speightstown colt loves what he’s doing with a (13) 6-4-1 slate in turf sprints, and especially likes it here, given his (4) 3-0-1 mark. He’s earned his 123-pound assignment.

Perfect Officer finished ahead of Bridgetown last out after the latter made a premature move to the lead, middle-moving into a :44-flat half mile, finishing second without threatening the streaking Fiddlers Patriot.

Given that Tony Dutrow is 35% efficient third time off the layup, he likely figures to improve here.

But it’s Regally Ready who is the most intriguing for several reasons. First, he has earned the best Equiform figures consistently and he has, on balance, kept better company than his two rivals here.

It is his ability on off ground, however, that clinches it. His lifetime best performance figure was earned in that scenario and he’s won the last three times he’s raced on something other than firm ground.

He was without his usual speed returning from a freshening after two runs in Dubai and now shows up here for Steve Asmussen who’s won eight races at this stand, most of them with Julien Leparoux, who has the call today.

There is some question as to whether he’s experiencing some Dubai hangover, therefore accept no less than 3-1, and key-box in exactas with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (1140) 350-220-173 Total Dollar Return: $2,406.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, August 13, 2012

Confident Barn Ships Into Spa

Today's feature is the Coronation Cup for 3-year-old fillies at 5-1/2 furlongs on the turf and Spun Cat (9-2), who earned an excellent figure in her 5-furlong turf and racing debut at Churchill is the most interesting entrant, especially since she hails from a top low key outfit that's showing extreme confidence shipping her to Saratoga in only her second start.

Hard Spun filly has worked very well subsequently and Eduardo Mori has tapped position-conscious Eddie Castro for the assignment. The price should be fair.

Taking Spun Cap to win at 3-1 or greater and key-boxing in exactas with prodigious winner Sensible Lady (3-1) and the fresh, potential trip-sitter, Sweet Cat (7-2).

Running Totals: (1139) 350-220-172 Total Dollar Return: $2,406.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, August 12, 2012

It’s the Late Late Double

Today's Adirondack Stakes favorite looks, well, like a layover. It’s not so much that her performance figure is far superior to the group, which it is, but her energy distribution was excellent. It appears that she’s been very well educated.

We’ll key-box her two rivals with more experience; 2-2 Calder shipper Salamera and an undefeated filly that’s Churchill based but has won at two other tracks, Tom Amoss’ well traveled Cayllano.

It’s much the same story in the Saratoga Special with one notable exception. Shanghai Bobby owns the superior figure but it’s Spurious Decision that intrigues us more.

His debut on this race was first rate, his figure puts him within a couple lengths of ‘Bobby’ but it’s the individual that impresses most.

We haven’t seen too many live 2-year-old races this season but this is a big, athletic animal with an imposing presence. He might not beat Bobby today, that’s why we’re taking an exacta box, but he might have the better future. We shall see.

We're going on record with Kauai Katie to win the Adirondack, no rice restrictions, and key-boxing exactas with Salamera and Cayllano. We're taking a Saratoga Special exacta box of 3-6 and a win bet on Spurious Precision at 5-2 or greater.

Running Totals: (1138) 349-220-172 Total Dollar Return: $2,403.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Page 479 of 817 pages « FirstP  <  477 478 479 480 481 >  Last »