Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Saturday, July 07, 2007
This Dreamer Gets A Grade 1 Rush
Fillies with speed are always fun and some of the fastest felines, aged three, will get together in today’s featured Prioress at Belmont Park, one of the few American Grade 1 sprints for sprinting fillies.
Four fillies deserve serious consideration to earn the Prioress title, from the rail out; Silver Knockers (4-1), Cash’s Call (12-1), Ticket To Seattle (8-1) and Dream Rush (8-5).
Silver Knockers came into her own at Pimlico last out, posting a key race score and earning a competitive performance figure. She’s had plenty of recovery time and her :46 4/5 Saratoga training track workout was the best of 41 three-year-old fillies to work during that week. She’s a comer.
Cash’s Call has been overlooked by the odds maker; 12-1 is just too much price. She’s just as fast as Silver Knockers and Ticket To Seattle, her :49 2/5 breeze, under restraint, was eighth fastest the same week Silver Knockers trained, and she’s a worthy 2-for-3 at the distance with a second place finish.
Ticket To Seattle earned an excellent figure two back then tried a turf sprint next time out. That probably was a training exercise, as Steve Klesaris is 28 percent efficient going turf to dirt, and you don‘t try Grade 1 company without serious consideration. She, too, is a sprint specialist, as her (4) 2-2-0 slate attests.
Still, Dream Rush is the most probable winner. She found the pace and the eight furlongs of the Grade 1 Acorn just a tad too much last time, and that came following a career best effort. She’s flat out faster than this group, has the conditioning turning back from the mile Acorn, and just loves the surface.
Her Acorn placing was her first defeat in Elmont in three lifetime starts. The shift to an outside post will allow Eibar Coa to see how the pace shakes out before making his move. That was not the case when she drew the rail in the Acorn and had to make too much use of her early. The Rick Violette barn is white hot.
Taking Dream Rush to win, no price restrictions, and keying her first and second in trifectas and superfectas with the other three fillies, an extra trifecta ticket with her on top.
Running Totals: (55) 26-12-9 Dollar Return: $152.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, July 06, 2007
Run This Twilight Feature In The Dark
Today’s Belmont Park feature, a “non-winners of two other-than/optional claiming $50,000,” does not exactly get the blood pumping. It’s a six-horse field that features a seemingly unbeatable favorite from high profile connections. The main contender looks to be a freshened three-year-old from the Pletcher/Velazquez team.
Frankly, I don’t believe City Attraction (1-1) can be beaten and I’d be lying if I said there were other smart options. This Rick Dutrow trainee comes from two rapidly run placings, the spacing (38 days) is perfect, the distance is right, and Cornelio Velasquez fits tighter than OJ’s glove.
City Attraction is a “now” horse. He’s been consistently faster than the group except for the returning Shuffling Maddnes, who figures to need the effort.
The only interesting rival with a puncher’s chance is Our Sacred Honor (2-1), badly outrun when last seen in the Grade 3 Withers after a promising third place finish in the rapidly run Aventura at Gulfstream Park. Freshened by Mr. Pletcher is likely the perfect tonic for a colt that gets blinkers this afternoon. They may or may not help; a tough read with this barn.
Taking City Attraction to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Our Sacred Honor.
Running Totals: (54) 26-11-9 Dollar Return: $152.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, July 05, 2007
Solid Development Trumps Superior Figures in Belmont Feature
Today’s feature is a little trappy; a six-horse field going a mile and a sixteenth for fillies & mares, three-year-olds and up, eligible for non-winners of a race other than…or optional claiming $75.000.
The early line favorite, Mama Theresa (2-1), looks beatable; she’s fast on figures and early speed but seldom makes it all the way to the wire. We think it will come down to Lost Etiquette (5-2) and Lauren’s Tizzy (7-2).
Lost Etiquette is the fastest on performance figures but never has run back to her excellent debut effort. In fact, she’s shown no development at three but does seem to be rounding into top form. Trainer Pat Reynolds is having a fine year (24 percent) and Edgar Prado sees fit to re-ride.
But we’ll give the edge to a four-year-old who, while not as fast on performance figures, is developing nicely this season and is likely to hold that fine form despite her 123-pound impost, most of that Garrett Gomez.
Additionally, she’s won a secondary allowances for state-breds but get in this open race on a favorable restricted clause. The Mark Hennig shed seems to be gearing up as this meet progresses. Lauren’s Tizzy is more likely to provide good value relative to her chances for victory.
Taking Lauren’s Tizzy to win at 5-2 or greater, and an exacta box with Lost Etiquette.
Running Totals: (53) 26-11-9 Dollar Return: $152.70 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci