Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Taking the Classy Comebacker

Like maidens, racetracks never seem to run out of turf sprinters but the thing of it is they are usually a fast, talented lot. Today’s Gulf feature is for older fillies and mares sprinting 5 furlongs over what should be another hard course. Hard course; harder race.

Making her return to the races in an oft-abbreviated career is Roxy Gap (5-1), who’s been in steady training for her return since December and Mark Casse really has picked up the tempo in recent weeks.

Indian Charlie filly has won two of her three starts when coming off layups, has kept very good company, and while she’s not raced today’s distance on turf, she was handy enough to win her career debut at this trip over the Woodbine Polytrack.

With little high speed inside of her, look for Johnny Velazquez to break sharply for position, either taking back off the speed or going on with it if she’s allowed to get away soft. Despite her issues, something that appears obvious, she has the talent and class to get this done and offers good value at anywhere near early line odds.

We’re taking Roxy Gap to win at 3-1 or greater, and key-boxing her first and second in multiple pools with price shot Heavenly Pride (12-1) and both halves of the uncoupled Tony Dutrow duo—Going to Kukaro (3-1) with Castellano and Caribbean Lady (6-1) who figures to be coming late beneath Bravo.

Running Totals: (1042) 322-204-151 Total Dollar Return: $2,226.00 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, March 11, 2012

It’s Two…Two Picks n’ One

Gulfstream Race 7: Grade 3 Palm Beach Stakes: Two features on tap at Gulfstream today. Ultimately, we believe Dullahan will be the better 3-year-old, but don't see howe anyone will catch the main speed in the Palm Beach. Howe Great (8-5) is the one to catch, and beat, as Dale Romans continues his turf-to-dirt Derby prepping with Dullahan (2-1).

Race 10, G3 Herecomesthebride Stakes: One blanket would fit needly over the entire field; a really competitive heat. We're taking any value offered on Regalo Mio (8-1) and using Dayatthespa (2-1) and Northern Passion in the multiple pools, alternately saving and pressing.

Running Totals: (1040) 321-203-151 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, March 10, 2012

How Do I Win?  How Do I Win!

We'll be taking a look at a 3 year old stakes race at Aqueduct that is likely to have no bearing on the Kentucky Derby; the 6 furlong Fred 'Cappy' Capposela.

If you believe performance figures are the measure, then you're most likely to land on early line favorite Ancient Rome (5-2). This speedster had ascending figures sprinting until his connections decided to go long in the Gulfstream Park Derby. Experiment: Failed.

SInce then, Anthony Dutrow has regrouped, freshened the speedster, shipped him north a a return to his best distance, and tapped C C Lopez to partner. Lopez, as many know, is a speed rider extraordinaire.

But we'e going to opt for How Do I Win (7-2), a horse trainer Todd Pletcher has called disappointing; quite a mouthful for the future first ballot Hall of Famer. We noticed before that whenever he had his doubts about one of his runners, invariably he'd shorten that horse up, the tack here.

When last seen, he was setting the pace the Grade 3 Withers but proved no match for Alpha. Considering that that 3-year-old is the likely second choice to Union Rags in the Florida Derby, this is no disgrace. This sprint is ungraded and his pole position will allow Cornelio Velasquez a look at the action from close range. Turn backs are a Pletcher specialty, profitable despite a large sample in that category.

Taking How Do I Win to finish first at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with the favorite and the equally fast Chad Brown trainee, Beggarthyneighbor (6-1).

Running Totals: (1039) 321-203-150 Total Dollar Return: $2,222.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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