Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Double Your Fun

A terrific feature at Delaware Park today, a non-winners of 2 lifetime allowances for fillies and mares going nine furlongs on turf drawing a full field. Shippers coming in from everywhere and even Barclay Tagg and Todd Pletcher are represented, with Javier Castellano in to ride the Pletcher filly, Vuemont (4-1), in with an excellent chance.

But the entry of Senada and Nightmare Night (5-1) look most interesting. In the former’s case, the Tagg ship in owns excellent spacing, the pole, sheds important weight to 117 and will appreciate the added distance. Mate Nightmare Night earned an excellent figure, among the best in the field, and did so at today’s 9 furlong trip. Truth is whoever you back in this spot, you’re likely to get paid should be land on the right mare.

Taking either or both halves of the entry to win at 5-1 or greater and keying them in the exotics and super-exotics with Vuemont, recent impressive maiden winner Grant Park (12-1), surging Powder Rock (8-1), Larry Jones trainee Silver Salutations (8-1) and the consistent favorite Celtic Cross (3-1).

Running Totals: (889) 280-180-121 Total Dollar Return: $1,940.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, July 09, 2011

Youth Will Be Served

Today’s stakes event at Belmont Park truly is one, the Grade 1 Man o’ War, featuring three-time Eclipse champion Gio Ponti (6-5), who came charging too late and failed to catch upstart Mission Approved (5-1), benefiting from a soft lead on yielding ground while getting eight pounds from the champion.

Today there’s an 10-pound shift in favor of Gio Ponti, which should help the champ reverse the recent Manhattan Handicap decision. Nevertheless, we’ll take any value offered on European import Cape Blanco (4-1).

A multiple Group 1 winner, he was out of his element going shorter vs. the two of the best milers in Europe; Canford Hills and champion mare Goldikova. Today’s added distance and addition of Lasix should move the 4-year-old forward sufficiently to upset the champion.

Taking Cape Blanco to win at 2-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (888) 279-180-121 Total Dollar Return: $1,932.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, July 08, 2011

Why I Oughta’

Today’s Belmont feature, a non-winners of three/optional claiming allowances, drew but a field of five but with an opportunity for value. The early line favorite Bank Merger (7-5) is classy and talented but has been away since 2010.

The best option is second choice Have You Ever, a Pletcher trainee who’s a four time winner over Big Sandy and 1-for-1 at today’s hybrid distance.

But his real strength is his early speed and it appears that he can get loose with a sharp start. Given recovery time since his last, he’s worked very sharply for his Belmont finale.

Taking Have You Ever to win at 2-1 or greater and boxing him in the exacta with uber sharp, fast working Just Hold On.

Running Totals: (887) 279-180-121 Total Dollar Return: $1,932.80 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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