Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Monday, February 16, 2009
Edge to Contessa Re-Claim in Contentious Sprint
Today’s feature in New York doesn’t have a name on it but it would at probably any other track in the Northeast, such is the talented level of the non-winners of 3 other than/optional claimer. Further, it’s a skull buster as I can make a reasonable case for almost any entrant.
It unlikely that any entrant will dominate the betting in this relatively short but highly contentious field. We’re going to opt for the two recently fastest horses on performance figures who also happen to be the sharpest. Regression is a possibility, of course, but there are negatives with the competition as well.
Fujita, who runs coupled as the Jacobson entry, was claimed for $75,000 last time out from the Pletcher operation. It’s a big gamble but one that could pay big dividends if the newly turned four year olds continues to develop and/or improve in new hands.
Stakes placed at 3, he has tactical speed, kick, good outside position and a good insurance policy from stablemate Temecula Creek, who Jacobson acquired privately from Bobby Frankel last fall. They are deserving overnight choices at a combined 5-2.
West Coast Flier (7-2), meanwhile, might prove a bargain claim. In fact, he was a Gary Contessa re-claim last out, the third time this five year old gelding changed hands in his last three starts. He earned a lifetime best figure in his debut on this track for these connections two back, now comes off a “soft” win, taking his last without expending as much effort as he did in that Dec. 10 sprint.
Taking West Coast Flier to win at 3-1 or greater and an exacta box with the Jacobson entry.
Running Totals: (364) 112-73-48 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, February 15, 2009
Shippers Dominate the “Cappy”
There might not be many Derby colts in today’s featured Fred “Cappy” Capossela at 6 furlongs but it will provide for some good action on the racetrack and betting action at the windows. The interesting colts here are The Prince (7-2) and Wildcat Brief (5-1).
The Prince, part of the Tony Dutrow trained entry, comes into this off a new pace top, indicating he can improve on his good figure debut at Delaware last fall. Any improvement at all from his last will make him a rough customer here. Channing Hill takes the re-ride off his good local debut in the Winkfield and is nicely positioned outside wit a suitable running style.
Wildcat Brief, meanwhile, is faster, raced well in both starts over the track and comes off a “soft” maiden win, indicating there’s more in reserve for this. We like the sign of confidence from the barn, entering him back in a stakes, and Stewart Elliott comes up for the ride as Ramon Dominguez opts for Mike Trombetta’s undefeated early line favorite, Not For Silver (2-1). It can only help out price.
Taking Wildcat Brief to win at 5-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with his two rivals here.
Running Totals: (363) 112-72-48 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Liz Gets Lasix
The Saturday feature, tackily run as the third race because the bean counters want short fields out of the Pick Six sequence--the eighth race drew a whopping field of seven--is the Dearly Precious Stakes for three-year-old fillies.
Despite the short field it’s a competitive group with any of three fillies; Liz Too (2-1), Dream Play (5-2) and Chattertown (7-2) more than capable of this.
Chattertown ships in super ship for Steve Klesaris following a dead heat win at Philly Park last out. Showing much improved speed to break her maiden in spot where the first and third finishers came back to win next out, the barn is showing a good deal of confidence spotting her here. She continues to train very well at her Fair Hill base and attracts talented speed rider David Cohen.
Dream Play might be 2-for-2 in her career if not for a very poor getaway in her return from a lengthy layup then continued to race in traffic much of the way. She impressed favorably in her maiden score at 2 and certainly could improve rapidly here. Eddie Castro picks up the mount from Kiaran McLaughlin, profitable with second-off-the-layup returnees.
But leave it to Rick Dutrow to find a spot and position that suits his filly nicely. Blessed with high cruising speed, she sports a bounce rebound pattern into this, her two-back being significantly faster than her first. But she might have had an additional excuse as well, adding Lasix for the first time this afternoon. Richard Migliore rides her back for an outfit that’s a sensational 39 percent efficient with first-Lasix runners. Migliore should sit the pocket until ready.
Taking Liz Too to win at 2-1 or greater, no multiple pool wagers.
Running Totals: (362) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci