Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Roxie, aka Value
The NYRA racing week begins with a three-quarter mile sprint for older fillies and mares open to second allowance fillies or $50,000 optional claiming entrants. One of the latter, Labadeel (6-5) will be the prohibitive choice at post time. And why not?
She’s consistently faster than these--by many lengths--and she seemingly has already beaten better rivals out of town. Entered with apprentice Sheldon Russell, she’ll get rivals pounds from most of her main rivals here, has a good outside post in a short field and hails from a barn very adept at shipping in--29 percent efficient is Anthony Dutrow in that category.
However, we’ll opt to throw deeper in this spot. While four-year-old Aka Roxie (8-1) is not nearly as fast, she’s lightly raced and improving with a fine developmental pattern. Further, she can deal with hot fractions, attracts the talented Frankie Pennington up from Philly Park for the ride, and trainer Robert Reid Jr. is on a mini-roll shipping into NY this winter, indeed is profitable for a career with his shippers. ‘Roxie’ is drawn right outside the choice and should sit on her hip until Pennington gives her a cue.
Taking Aka Roxie to win at 5-1 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Labadeel.
Running Totals: (360) 112-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $783.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, February 08, 2009
This Westsider Can Fly
Today’s feature at the Big A, a preliminary allowances/optional claimers at 6 furlongs for older males is a head scratcher. There are so many different ways to go but I fear the best horse is the early line favorite Westside Flyer (3-1), who’s coming off a lengthy layoff.
His performance figure at 3, with added maturity gained as a debuting 4-year-old, makes him the fastest on performance figures. The fact that trainer Todd Beattie is a profitable 25 percent efficient after 330 ship-in efforts is no less than remarkable. And he’s already 2-for-2 shipping in for this meet and 1-for-1 using leading rider Ramon Dominguez.
The gelded son of West Acre has tactical speed and an inside draw and will be in this throughout. He’s worked strongly at Laurel after leaving his Penn National base. His ‘A’ race wins this.
Taking Westside Flyer to win at 2-1 or greater and keying his first and second with razor sharp The Last Word (7-2) from the hot Parisella shed and Gimmearoutine (8-1) who could make another forward move here.
Running Totals: (359) 111-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $777.90 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, February 07, 2009
A Formful Whirlaway Result Highly Likely Today at Aqueduct
Today’s featured Whirlaway at a mile and a sixteenth is one of the three stakes for racing’s glamour division this afternoon. The two turner has attracted a half dozen three year olds and every one is on a positive line, to one degree of another, which will make the outcomes interesting and instructive.
Unfortunately, two of the six, overnight line favorite Haynesfield (1-1) and second favorite Peace Town (2-1) have a significant edge on performance figures. In good conscience, it’s impossible to pick against either or both.
Haynesfield is clearly the fastest. While not particularly impressive visually last out, he earned a New Pace Top on the Equiform scale despite being stoutly restrained in an effort to get him to relax. How effective it is as a learning experience will be the pudding’s proof this afternoon.
Peace Town, meanwhile, earned a figure competitive to the favorite’s two back then returned to win at today’s distance in a Maryland-bred stakes last out. He has tactical speed and can finish, shipping in for Mike Trombetta who is profitable for a career in non-graded stakes such as this. Julien Pimentel will attempt to win his fourth race without defeat aboard the colt.
With not much to choose between them in terms of price, we’ll take Haynesfield to win, no price restriction, boxing the exacta with Peace Town and keying him first in trifectas adding Hehasnosay (10-1) and Cellar Dweller (10-1) to the mix.
Running Totals: (358) 110-72-47 Total Dollar Return: $775.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci