Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
The feature that begins the NYRA week is really a stakes event masquerading as a “non-winners of 2 other than/optional claimer” such is the talented level of these older horses sprinting six furlongs. Finding Out how good Noble Sound (2-1) is figures to be the key to cashing.
If Equiform performance figures are the measure, then he’s pretty damn good. Both races earned excellent final figures, virtually pairing up, and he’s coming off a New Pace Top in his last in which he suffered a tough trip and injured his foot, missing some training time as a result. His rider even lost the whip.
The Albertrani barn is hot, he’s worked thrice in February after missing January, he has tactical speed, kick, and an outside draw in a small field. He’ll be a very tough out, and very well could be good enough to overcome recent issues. But I prefer to see it.
The David Jacobson entry of Southern Missile and Trophy Road is power packed (5-2). Trophy Road is clearly speed of the entry and likely this field, too, and is coming off a “soft” win, a positive pattern. He runs top figures and does so consistently. He’s had sufficient recovery time since his last and attracts the aggressive Eddie Castro.
Southern Missile is slower on figures, but just as steady, and would fit the conditions if any of his rivals seriously tests his stablemate early on. He’s a mid-race mover, saves ground from the rail and gets a huge rider switch to Ramon Dominguez. Good insurance policy for the preferred stablemate.
Taking surface loving Trophy Road to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Noble Sound.
Running Totals: (374) 113-75-50 Total Dollar Return: $793.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, March 01, 2009
Broadway is Cammy’s Choice
Today’s Broadway Handicap for state-bred filly and mare sprinters has drawn a small contentious field where the favorites will be tough to avoid. Not a great betting proposition, that.
The two fastest fillies on performance figures are Cammy’s Choice (9-5) and Lights Off Annie (2-1), part of the Bruce Levine entry.
Cammy’s Choice has a slight edge on figures and style, in that she can lay close up and kick, whereby Lights Off Annie’s best races have always been on the engine. Levine will probably tell Maragh to send this filly, banking on a one-two punch with stablemate Main Street and Ramon Dominguez.
But that strategy plays into Cammy’s Choice’s preference to stalk and pounce. She’s a tad faster, trainer Ed Lehman seems to have her hole card, Alvarado rides her regularly and she’s been working rapidly of late, coming into this off a 49-day freshening.
Taking Cammy’s Choice to win at 8-5 or greater, keying her first and second in exactas and trifectas with Lights Off Annie and Salt Water Reign, who’ll be coming late beneath Rosie Napravnik. If you watched yesterday’s races, you know this girl can really finish up on late rally types.
Running Totals: (373) 113-75-49 Total Dollar Return: $793.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Doing Homework Can Pay Dividends
There’s been some buzz about Manteca (8-1), the four your old New York bred making his open stakes debut in today’s Stymie Handicap at nine furlongs on the Aqueduct winter track. And why not? He been real good this young season, but he’ll have to be better than that if his connections think he will handle this salty group of hard hitters.
The same could be said of early line favorite Barrier Reef (5-2). He was really good overcoming first turn trouble in the Evening Attire for a courageous and classy win and, further, the Albertrani barn is a whopping 33 percent with third-off-a-layoff starters and of course Ramon Dominguez doesn’t hurt. But he, too, will have to step up if he expects to handle Researcher (3-1).
This gelding has come into his own as a five year old, as so many of that ilk do. And trainer Jeff Runco has gotten him to perform at an extremely high level given his lofty Equiform performance figures. He’s adaptable to any pace scenario, is a natural at the distance, won his only start on this surface, is nicely drawn and Mike Luzzi, on the re-ride, has been riding with a hot hand recently. Anything approaching his last two starts gets it done in this spot.
Taking Researcher to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in trifectas and superfectas with Barrier Reef, Manteca, Brilliant Son (7-2) and True Resurgence (5-1).
Running Totals: (372) 113-75-49 Total Dollar Return: $793.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci