Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
We Need VLTs, Today More Than Ever
Excited about today’s Big A feature, not that I have an inside track on the winner of this NW2-optional claiming state-bred sprint for fillies and mares, 3 & up, or because it features some proven superstar, but because I supposed to take money out of this race. The problem is how.
In this full field, I left seven of these fillies open, and hard a hard time whittling it down, given one scenario and another. So I donned my old harness hat, tried to plot the race, and the most likely trip-out filly with the figures to compete effectively is We Need V T Ls (5-1).
I figured the best way to take money out, win bet at fair odds notwithstanding, is to key this filly who’s made four lifetime starts, three on turf, and one promising main track effort at 7 furlongs, one in which she posted a highly competitive 6-furlong internal figure.
Given that, an outside post in a speed-laden field, and reuniting with Ramon Dominguez, a good trip sitting behind the speed seems assured. At least that’s the way we drew it up.
Taking We Need V L Ts to win at 7-2 or greater, keying boxing her first and second in exactas, and third in Dime Supers, with Rudy claim Sorority Sister (8-1), inner-loving speedster Yo Yo Karakorum (15-1), hard-trying Laylaben (6-1), fast-figure favorite Devilish Spirit (3-1), classy hot-barn returnee Opus A. (7-2), hot-barn inner-lover Citifiesta (30-1), and solid late-running price shot Raffie’s Rose (10-1).
Running Totals: (775) 248-161-106 Total Dollar Return: $1,729.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Pete Plus Maturity a Winning Parlay
An interesting feature today at the Big A, considering it’s a preliminary allowance sprint for state-breds going six furlongs.
The favorite, Doast, figures to be a tough out. An 4-year-old gelding son of Wheelaway, he’s making his second start off a rapidly run return and going back to the surface over which he broke his maiden at first asking. Cornelio Velasquez takes the re-ride for Linda Rice, having a very solid fall and early winter here.
But we’ll take whatever value is offered on Pete’s Parley, who also returned from a lengthy absence with a good third, a race in which the second finisher not only came back to win its next start but beat Le Bonne Ville in the process.
That one won its preliminary allowances over Doast, so that these horses come into this on virtually the same footing. Further, the performance figure ‘Pete’ earned virtually paired up with his lifetime best, an indication that with its recent added maturity, it’s poised to run at least that well, perhaps better.
Taking Pete’s Parley to win at 3-1 or greater, key-boxing him first and second in multiples with Doast and Zealous Boy, which has been toughened in stakes company, won its only start on today's surface and is picking up Ramon Dominguez.
Running Totals: (775) 248-161-105 Total Dollar Return: $1,729.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Monday, December 06, 2010
Party in the Parx
Today’s Parx feature is interesting, the Valley Forge Stakes, an overnighter at six furlongs with several of these shipping in from all over the East Coast.
Clearly, Temecula Creek (2-1), by way of Aqueduct and Rudy Rodriguez, will get most of the play, a high percentage outfit that has a good record with its shippers, a horse that fits the speedy race shape and gets Cornelio Velasquez heading south on the Jersey Turnpike to take the re-ride.
Given that he figures to be overbet and the fact he’s coming back on short rest, we’ll look elsewhere and settle on Gattopardo (3-1). The concern with him is that he’s making his second start in two years off a winning return.
But we was given nearly six weeks recovery time for an outfit that‘s 18 percent in second-off-the-layoff scenarios, he’s worked rapidly for this and, graded stakes placed, might hold a class edge. He owns tactical speed and kick and was second in both Parx starts going long; the shorter distance should help in that regard.
Taking Gattopardo to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Temecula Creek.
Running Totals: (774) 248-161-105 Total Dollar Return: $1,729.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci