Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Sunday, August 15, 2010

Taking a Position in the Adirondack

Always underappreciated, today’s Adirondack at 6-½ furlongs for juvenile fillies has attracted a talented, eclectic and very interesting group of ladies.

This race was so interesting and wide open on paper that our first inclination was to toss early line favorite Position Limit. Sure her race was extremely, repeat extremely, fast but it was over a different track than today’s, she’s had only that one race, and it was over a sealed muddy track.

Then Bob Baffert is shipping in with his wife’s Alienation, a one-time maiden breaker in fast time--but on turf. After an eight length maiden breaker, Nina Fever met G3 colts in Kentucky.

Miss Sarah Brown was purchase privately by a barn that shows a profit with new acquisitions and maiden breaker Coax Liberty at 20-1 deserved a strong look-see. Break ties at the replay center, so let’s start with the favorite.

My search ended there. With a debuting 8-5 runner being confidently handled and with Position Limit appearing to have some difficulty with the going, it appeared over, until Position Limit got untracked.

Now being confidently handled by Johnny Velazquez, Pletcher’s long-striding filly took the lead and drew off under intermittent handling, giving the sense that her ability, not the sealed wet conditions, was responsible for the victory.

Taking Position Limit to win at 8-5 or greater and keying her first and second in multiples with Alienation and Coax Liberty.

Running Totals: (707) 229-145-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,591.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, August 14, 2010

Sword Dancer Great Spot for Upset

Today’s feature is the Grade 1 Sword Dancer on the turf for males 3 and up going 12 furlongs. This is the most wide edition in recent memory and a good spot to throw deep.

The favorites, Expansion (3-1) and Marsh Side (4-1), shipping in for Neil Drysdale, are worthy and likely winners. But then Telling (6-1) is better than his last. Interpatation (20-1) shouldn’t be that price and Grand Couturier (8-1) loves Saratoga.

But it’s Bearpath (10-1) that’s the most intriguing. Back at his best distance, he has speed enough to get position here and the power to finish, trying to win his third 12-furlong event in five lifetime starts.

Making his second start off the layup, the late developing 4-year-old gelding attracts Calvin, so you know that Bearpath will save ground.

Taking Bearpath to win at 6-1 or greater and keying him first and second in multiple pools with his rivals here, adding Grassy (10-) to the superfecta mix.

Running Totals: (706) 229-144-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,591.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, August 13, 2010

An Accord with Nordic Truce

Today’s Saratoga feature is a beauty, the Grade 2 National Racing Museum and Hall of Fame Stakes for 3-year-olds going nine furlongs on turf. Of the six entered, four can win, of the two favorites, we prefer the longer.

Interactif is a worthy favorite (8-5). When last seen he finished well for place behind leading sophomore turfer, Paddy O’ Prado, and is already a multiple graded winner. Those wins came at 2, then came a tentative Triple Crown campaign, now back on turf. Turf and synthetics are his best go.

But we’ll take a minor upsetter in Nordic Truce (5-2). Also a Grade 3 winner, he’s never taken a backward step in four career starts, all on turf, and was able to improve his final figure despite softer fractions in his latest. He reunites with Julien Leparoux, 2 for 2 on this colt, and the Clement barn has awakened in recent days.

Taking Nordic Truce to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Interactif. Also adding import Paris Vegas (8-1) and Krypton (3-1), the only horse to defeat Nordic Truce, to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (705) 229-144-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,591.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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