Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Friday, June 05, 2009
A Special Mile and a Half Stakes Double, Part 1
It’s extremely rare, in fact, I’ve never seen a double wager featuring two 12-furlong events yet here it is. Today’s Grade 2 Brooklyn Handicap doubled up with tomorrow’s Belmont Stakes.
Three candidates appear most likely to succeed: Nite Light (6-1), Delosvientos (3-1) and Rising Moon (5-1).
Clearly, early line Delosvientos is the key to this depending, of course, what you decide to do with his season’s debut, which was nothing less than horrendous. Is the 6-year-old passed his prime, or was he prepped in last and now shows up reuniting with Eibar Coa, who’s 2-for-2 on him including a victory in this race last year. Trainer Giuseppe Iadisernia is profitable with second-off-layoff runners but there may be too much early pace pressure on this guy to accept low odds.
Rising Moon, switching to Garrett Gomez for Rick Dutrow, figures to be a pace presser at this trip. His performance figures are marching again, he’s 1-for-1 at 12 furlongs and has a worthy Belmont slate of (4) 2-1-1. Working a bullet in preparation for this, Dutrow is profitable in graded stakes company and this 6-year-old looks set for a top try.
Nite Light, if early line odds hold, offers good value. This one has won at 12 and 13 furlongs and is coming off a good effort at Monmouth Park in his season’s debut, has tactical speed with Johnny V. and trainer Pletcher is 25 percent efficient in second off the layup scenario. He 5 year old also will handle the course as his (3) 1-1-0 slate suggests.
Taking Nite Light to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him in exactas with his two rivals here.
Running Totals: (438) 131-91-58 Total Dollar Return: $883.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Thursday, June 04, 2009
Drift King: That’s What I’m Talkin’ About
Looks like recency will be the key to this entertaining sprint, but what to I know? Haven’t picked a winner a long time. We’ll soldier on because it’s about the long term.
Drift King is sharp, fast, at his home track, it’s Belmont week and Billy turner has one in. Will be the stalker, and perhaps the speed beneath Paco Lopez.
The horses to beat are Shoptate, fast and honest, albeit sparingly raced, and course lover Fidelio (Frankel won yesterday‘s eighth race), who figures a comfortable stalking trip with Garrett Gomez.
Running Totals: (437) 131-90-58 Total Dollar Return: $883.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Wednesday, June 03, 2009
Clement Filly to Continue Barn’s Roll
Today’s Belmont feature on the Belmont turf at a mile and a sixteenth, a preliminary allowances with plenty of restricted language that has attracted several multiple winners, is an interesting heat.
The best three fillies appear to be Forest Trail (3-1), Sonic Sound (8-1) and Blitzen Too (2-1), the last two multiple-race winning New York-breds.
This is a grass route lacking in speed and perhaps the addition of blinkers will get her in the game early from an inside post, although Castellano probably will find a way to take a wide path. Still, Forest Trail is moving forward, showing good development in her 4-year-old debut and Shug is excellent second off the layup and with blinkers-added runners.
Sonic Sound is another who has developed nicely at 4, hails from an excellent third-off-the-layup connections and has been vastly improved since the addition of Lasix and the switch to Sebastian Morales. This season the filly has overcome poor starts to win both of her races, a style that suits race profile at the distance.
Blitzen Too is making her four-year-old debut having earned performance figures at 3 that are the equal of today’s rivals who have raced at 4. Christophe Clement is saddling winners at a 35 percent this meet and is 21 percent efficient with horses returning from a 90 days-plus layoff. Further, the filly reunites with Alan Garcia, aboard for two victories last season. She owns a formidable late kick.
Blitzen Too is the most probable winner, taking her to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing her in exactas, and keying her in trifectas, with her main rivals here.
Running Totals: (436) 131-90-58 Total Dollar Return: $883.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci