Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, February 03, 2010
Frank “Pancho” Martin, Remember Him?
With rain expected to continue in South Florida, we’ll return to New York for today’s feature which, if purse size is the measure, the 7th race for state-breds, a preliminary allowances-optional claimer at 9 furlongs.
Diamond District (9-5) is a worthy and obvious choice. He’s improved in two recent starts for Gary Contessa, earning top figure scores and now picks up Ramon Dominguez. On paper, he’s a tough out, but there are two agonizing issues.
The turnback from 10 furlongs to nine could be problematical for this pace presser. His speed might have been dulled sufficiently in that mile and a quarter test and he might be uncomfortable neat the lead under those conditions. Further, his last was his first start with a bar shoe.
Sometimes you get away with one but two straight efforts, on relatively short rest, could be an issue. At expected odds on, we’ll look for another.
It’s hard to remember sometimes but Frank Martin is in the Hall of Fame. He’s done a great job with the 6-year-old gelding French Transition (6-1) that ran away and hid from a group of $7,500 claimers last time out.
Twenty-three percent effective using Gabriel Saez, on the re-ride here, he’s taking a confident class rise. Martin’s enjoying a resurgent meet. He has a good chance to saddle his fifth winner at the current meet here.
Taking French Transition at 9-2 or greater, and keying him first and second in trifectas Diamond District, Smart Enuf (7-2), Rises The Phoenix (4-1) and Typhoon Tycoon (20-1).
Running Totals: (586) 184-118-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,284.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, January 31, 2010
She’ll Be Battling All the Way, Really
Great race today at Gulfstream Park, the Grade 2 Forward Gal for filly three year olds at 7 furlongs and a big beautiful field it is, featuring the return of the juvenile filly champion, She Be Wild (3-1).
What’s not to like, right? Four for five lifetime, all in top company, but… She’s had nary one start on God’s dirt and clearly has bigger fish to fry. This is an Oaks filly, and that’s a long way down the road.
But it’s Wayne Catalano and she’s working well; could get it done on class alone. Still, she’s not for us, today.
Ailalea (4-1) really got good this fall, winning both starts after being asked to stretch out, earning highly competitive performance figures with the favorite and is, of course, a Todd Pletcher production.
Winner of the G3 Tempted after her key race maiden score, her future is going longer, too. She’ll be fit enough but how serious she will be is another matter. At an expected short price, we have no interest in finding out.
Bickersons (8-1) is clearly the most interesting here. After beating the rapid Hot Dixie Chick to the lead in the seven furlong Spinaway at Saratoga, finishing third, she did win her only other start at the distance on Hollywood Cushion Track, which is closer to dirt than other synthetics. And she did break maiden on dirt at Monmouth last summer.
She was a good third in the G1 Oak Leaf at Santa Anita and her race behind the favorite in the Juvenile Fillies was better than it looks on paper. Her outside post helps her in this spot, especially at the distance, and she’s been working bullets at Palm Meadows in preparation for Kelly Breen.
Taking Bickersons to win at 5-1 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiples with her two rivals here.
Running Totals: (585) 183-118-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,263.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, January 30, 2010
This Filly’s Not as Quick as She Is Fast
Rather than the five filly Correction in New York, we’ll attempt to throw deep in the 14-filly Manatee at Tampa Bay Downs for fillies and mares sprinting seven furlongs.
Nicely positioned outside, a winner at the distance, and working bullets for her return from a lay-up for an excellent return outfit, Satans Quick Chick (10-1) is very well suited by the speedy race shape here.
While not having experience on this tiring surface, she has had success on the tiring Polytrack at Keeneland, indeed winning the Grade 2 Raven Run last time out after overcoming a roughed start.
Strong finisher Leandro Goncalves takes the re-ride here, his winter home, and he won with three of his last seven rides for trainer Eric Reed. Half the early line odds look fair in this spot.
Taking newly turned four year old Satans Quick Chick to win and place at 5-1 or greater.
Running Totals: (584) 183-117-80 Total Dollar Return: $1,263.50 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci