Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
You Go to the Windows People
If it’s about class on the grass, which it is, that and trips, two fillies in today’s Mollie Wilmot overnight stakes, are getting plenty of class relief, Rewrite (5-2) and You Go West Girl (3-1). And if it’s about value, which it always must be, then the second choice on the early line is value; You Go West Girl should be the right favorite.
Having said that, Rewrite is impossible to fault. She seldom fails to fire her best shot, is not limited by distance and her performance figures are among the fastest in the race. She could not be in better hands than with turf ace Christophe Clement.
But You Go West Girl is just as versatile and while she isn’t 4-for-5 at today’s distance, as is Rewrite, she is 2-for-3, went well in her only start over this ground and has proven consistently faster. The four-year-old has come to hand this season and Tom Proctor is no less a turf ace than Clement.
Taking You Go West Girl to win at 5-2 or greater and an exacta box with Rewrite.
Running Totals: (262) 81-51-30. Total Dollar Return: $489.40 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Monday, August 25, 2008
Take Goodday, Mates
With two overnight stakes to choose from, the more compelling is for juvenile New York-bred fillies, the Vichy, going six furlongs. Interesting race in that it’s a battle between some fillies that have tried open company and some that were impressive maiden winners. We’ll take a closer look at Ouchy Night (5-1), Stunning Electra (4-1) and Goodday (4-1).
After breaking her maiden, Ouchy Night was asked to carry her speed in the Grade 3 Schuylerville. Nothing doing; too much, too soon. Now it’s back to state-breds, Desormeaux gets the re-ride, and the filly’s worked twice since her last, in which she also stumbled and raced wide. She’ll certainly improve here.
Stunning Electra was all that in her second start, showing much more speed than in her tough trip debut, winning over a wet Saratoga track in a manner that was easier than her winning margin suggests. The Asmussen barn sent her back to Belmont but when this spot came up, they sent her back up the Northway. The fact that Belmont fall is now a little more than a week away, she seems very well intended in this spot.
Goodday is the most interesting. While her performance figures are not at the level of the fastest of these, they are promising in that she has improved incrementally making her highly likely to move forward again. Add to that, the fact he will be making her first start for trainer Rick Dutrow, a 32 percent scenario, and transitions from Del Mar Polytrack to dirt, she might think she’s taking flight. Evidence of that came when in her final work, she went five furlongs in :59, the fastest of 73 two-year-olds to work that week in Saratoga.
Taking Goodday to win at 5-2 or greater and exacta boxes with her two rivals here.
Running Totals: (261) 80-51-30. Total Dollar Return: $485.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, August 24, 2008
Dance Ballerina Dance
Fascinating renewal of the Grade 1 Ballerina for older fillies and mares sprinting 7 furlongs, a race that’s never easily won. It features one very fast filly, G1 winner Mistical Plan (5-2), and a couple interesting price chances, Intangaroo (5-1) and Jibboom (12-1).
Mistical Plan exploded to win the Grade 1 Princess Rooney at Calder which traditionally attracts some of the country’s best female sprinters. When you rattle off a :44-and-change over that surface, even in summer, you’re rolling. That kind of speed translates well to 7 furlongs here, where it’s possible to speed pop and disappear from view. Nicely drawn toward trhe outside of mid-pack, the aggressive Cornelio Velasquez should dictate to the field.
Intangaroo burst on the national scene with a strong late run to win the G1 Humana Distaff on the Kentucky Derby undercard. She repeats that same pattern here as she goes from synthetic surface to dirt, returning to her optimal distance. She is laudably versatile, winning from on or way off the pace and had a brilliant blowout at her Del Mar base for this.
Jibboom repeats a winning turf to dirt pattern while making her second start off a long layup. Interesting that she raced on turf here, frontrunning but tiring, which has been the way both courses have played the entire meet. Bobby Frankel is very adept with both the turn back and turf to dirt angle, and this filly did, after all, win the G2 Raven Run in her only start at this trip. Such aggressiveness is worth noting.
Consider betting two fillies here, taking Mistical Plan at 2-1 or greater and a longshot play of Jibboom at 10-1 or more. Making an exacta box using these three.
Running Totals: (260) 80-51-30. Total Dollar Return: $485.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci