Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Thursday, January 03, 2008
Rank Has its Privileges
Another tough feature race in New York--if you’re looking to make a score. Today’s feature is a preliminary allowances for newly turned three-year-old state-breds at six furlongs. The race drew seven but is effectively a match race between Another Foose (8-5) and That’srightofficer (1-1).
Another Foose won his debut stylishly, battling on the pace before drawing away through a final quarter-mile of :24 1/5. He’s trained well since that race, including a recent lung-opening bullet. Ramon Dominguez picks up this mount from Gary Contessa.
That’srightofficer wasn’t a stylish winner, but a super impressive one. He ran by the leaders with ease when asked for his best and drew off rapidly, earning a top performance figure. While his main rival has a bit more freshening, coming back in 40 days, the Rick Schosberg trainee has the benefit of a race over the winter surface. Alan Garcia replaces Edgar Prado, in Florida for today’s Gulfstream opener. If he runs back to his debut, Another Foose will be completing a short-priced exacta.
Taking That’srightofficer to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Another Foose. Trifecta players can add Hussonfirst (12-1) in underneath money positions.
Running Totals: (154) 56-33-16. Total Dollar Return: $347.60 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Tuesday, January 01, 2008
Taking Control of the Interborough
Not an exciting way to start the new year, although any start in New York these days is welcome. The Interborough at six furlongs has drawn only five fillies for three-year-olds and up but, on form, it looks like a match race between the two favorites: Control Room (8-5) and Oprah Winney (6-5).
The favorite probably should have won her latest, but settled for third in the Garland of Roses following a very poor start. Prior to that, she set a too-fast pace in the Monmouth Park slop in the Breeders’ Cup. Today, the switch to the outside post will suit her style better and picking up Ramon Dominguez won’t hurt. She’s fast, consistent, likes this surface and has a versatile style.
But Control Room has a bit more upside. A newly turned four-year-old, she’s still developing and had something in reserve from a performance-figure perspective when she defeated the favorite in her last. Trainer Michael Trombetta has been on a tear with his New York shippers, especially this one, 2-for-2 when she steps foot on the winter track. She has tactical speed and an inside post, and will be partnered by Julian Pimentel, who’s been riding at 29 % for this barn recently.
We’re taking Control Room to repeat at 7-5 or more and an exacta box with Oprah Winney.
Running Totals: (153) 55-33-16. Total Dollar Return: $333.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, December 30, 2007
Run With the Value
Today’s Alex M Robb for state-breds going a mile and a sixteenth for 3-year-olds and up is a good one, and a good betting race, too. The strength is all outside in this full field, from the 7 post, out; Indian Hawke (5-2), Run With the Lark (6-1), Who What Win (5-1) and Naughty New Yorker (3-1).
Indian Hawke is co-fastest on performance figures, has excellent tactical speed and is extremely sharp right now for Tony Dutrow and Alan Garcia, a tandem that’s 44 % effective when they hook up. Add the fact that the streaking speedster loves the surface and you know he will be a tough out.
When last seen, Naughty New Yorker was finishing third in the Grade 1 Cigar mile. Guess you might say he rates a class edge vs. his native New Yorkers. But this is a pretty salty group, he’s drawn the extreme outside and that first turn comes up pretty quickly. Furthermore he’s picking up 7 pounds and likes the winter surface. Jean-Luc Samyn gets along with him very well.
Who What Win earned an excellent figure over this surface last season, comes up to this in excellent form and attracts Ramon Dominguez. But what sets him apart from most of the others is the fact he’s never finished worse than second in 10 starts on this surface, including four wins. He’s also a four-time winner at the distance.
Run With the Lark has never raced in better form and hails from a barn that has had a resurgent season, and will end the year with a flat-bet profit. That’s what happens when starters outrun their odds. With lots of speed signed on, the Rick Schosberg runner fits the race shape very well and Norberto Arroyo fits him extremely well. Off all the major contenders, he is the one most likely to fall through the wagering cracks.
Taking the value on Run With the Lark at 6-1 or greater, and keying him first and second in exactas with his three main rivals, and in all money positions in the trifecta.
Running Totals: (152) 55-33-16. Total Dollar Return: $333.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci