Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, June 03, 2009
Clement Filly to Continue Barn’s Roll
Today’s Belmont feature on the Belmont turf at a mile and a sixteenth, a preliminary allowances with plenty of restricted language that has attracted several multiple winners, is an interesting heat.
The best three fillies appear to be Forest Trail (3-1), Sonic Sound (8-1) and Blitzen Too (2-1), the last two multiple-race winning New York-breds.
This is a grass route lacking in speed and perhaps the addition of blinkers will get her in the game early from an inside post, although Castellano probably will find a way to take a wide path. Still, Forest Trail is moving forward, showing good development in her 4-year-old debut and Shug is excellent second off the layup and with blinkers-added runners.
Sonic Sound is another who has developed nicely at 4, hails from an excellent third-off-the-layup connections and has been vastly improved since the addition of Lasix and the switch to Sebastian Morales. This season the filly has overcome poor starts to win both of her races, a style that suits race profile at the distance.
Blitzen Too is making her four-year-old debut having earned performance figures at 3 that are the equal of today’s rivals who have raced at 4. Christophe Clement is saddling winners at a 35 percent this meet and is 21 percent efficient with horses returning from a 90 days-plus layoff. Further, the filly reunites with Alan Garcia, aboard for two victories last season. She owns a formidable late kick.
Blitzen Too is the most probable winner, taking her to win at 2-1 or greater, boxing her in exactas, and keying her in trifectas, with her main rivals here.
Running Totals: (436) 131-90-58 Total Dollar Return: $883.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, May 31, 2009
Morrison’s Colt Makes Them Scream Uncle
Today’s feature is actually two, a male and female division for horses sired in New York going seven furlongs on the Widener turf. The colt division, the Spectacular Bid, has drawn a limit field and interesting that no horse has experience going seven furlongs on the Widener.
But today’s dynamic fits one contender very snugly: Uncle T’s Seven (4-1). In his only start on turf as a juvenile last year, he was a good third going two turns behind Bittel Road, a talented open company turf specialist.
Developing nicely at three, his performance figures have gone forward and he showed promising turf style in the aforementioned route, albeit moving prematurely to the lead then tiring. Having run virtually as fast on turf at 2 as any of these have at 3, his is suited by today’s race shape and is nicely drawn outside at this distance.
Taking Uncle T’s Seven to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas and trifectas with Tall Poppi (6-1) and Early Response (7-2).
Running Totals: (435) 131-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $883.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, May 30, 2009
She’s Perfect for You
A stakes doubleheader at Churchill Downs this afternoon has produced two highly competitive races. Of the two, we’ll concentrate on the Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes for three-year-old fillies going a flat mile.
There’s no shortage of speed in this heat, most of it in the form of 5-2 favorite Luster. The Al Stall Jr. trained filly ran away and hid from an allowance field Derby day on a sloppy track beneath Garrett Gomez with the benefit of the inside part of the track favoring speed.
But on performance figures, she’s consistently fastest and Stall is 18 percent effective stretching to a route off two previous sprints but figures to be pressured early. Jamie Theriot takes the mount.
The primary beneficiary looks like Perfect For You (5-1) who’s shown a distinct preference for the Churchill surface. Second at this distance as a juvenile, earning a competitive figure for the age group, she’s now 2-for-2 since adding blinkers, including a win at the Downs. Jon Court takes the ride for Rusty Arnold.
Arnold has poor stats stretching out off two sprints but both those races were at 7 furlongs and her pedigree, by Giant’s Causeway from a Deputy Minister mare, is screaming for more ground. She gets that here.
But it's Tweeter (8-1) who's most interesting at a price. Wayne Lukas has made a habit of prepping horses in a Grade 1 then come back in the proper spot. How much of a chance do you think she had in the Kentucky Oaks?
But prior to the Oaks, she never had taken a backward step. She breezed brilliantly over the track May 23 and, prior to Friday, Lukas was 4-for-8 at the meet, often using Miguel Mena, who takes the re-ride here.
Taking Tweeter to win at 6-1 or greater, exacta boxes with Perfect For You and Luster, and adding Affirmed Truth (8-1) to the trifecta mix.
Running Totals: (433) 130-89-58 Total Dollar Return: $880.30 [win selections only] (Friday's results not included)
Written by John Pricci