Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Seeking Value on the Good Horse Circuit

The secondary allowances feature at Keeneland is a beauty, which is to say very competitive, difficult--and ripe for a score. Certainly no one can afford to take a short price.

All the top horsemen are in this group and America’s best riders, too. Today, our focus will be on Cat Park (8-1).

Coming off a Turf Decline Line where she made ground despite a hungry pace, she returns to the scene of one of her best previous lifetime performances on this course.

The spacing is right, as are the connections of Graham Motion and Rosie Napravnik. Yes, the outside post is a big obstacle, but that might help in the mutuel department.

Taking Cat Park to win at 6-1 or greater and keying her in exactas with Hailstone (8-1) and Shrimp Dancer (8-1).

Running Totals: (840) 267-174-115 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, April 03, 2011

To Honor And Cash

Well, the piece de resistance, finally, and it’s a beauty. There are no secrets at this level, in this race, you know the stories by now. This race is deep and very, very contentious.

Soldat (9-5) is the “now horse,” one “if those if your life depended on it” kind of horses. Solid!

Dialed In (2-1) is gong to run better, you know that. He will get pace in this race; he’s finally training like his conditioner is serious about getting serious.

The workout on Stay Thirsty (8-1) has me baffled, maybe it has Pletcher baffled, too. Maybe, since it’s Pletcher, he’ll win anyway. At those odds he’s certainly value.

I know something else, To Honor And Serve will definitely run better but probably not as good as he’ll run in five more weeks. But at 4-1, given his obvious talent, the odds are fair.

I always hate to lose Johnny to another rival, but GG is a more than adequate replacement.

Taking To Honor And Serve to win at 3-1 or greater, keying him first and second in multiples with his rivals here, adding the nicely developing Arch Traveler (20-1) to the super exotic mix.

Running Totals: (839) 267-174-114 Total Dollar Return: $1,860.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, April 02, 2011

Lightning in a Bridle

Sorry, but sometimes you just have to take what they give you. That’s the case in today’s feature Gulfstream Park Oaks, a.k.a. the Bonnie Miss in a previous life.

Normally, that would mean a filly like It’s Tricky (2-1), undefeated in three lifetime starts, including two around two turns. Further, she’s the fastest on the Equiform performance scale, by a considerable margin, and distributed her energy very efficiently last out, developing nicely right before your eyes.

Instead, however, we’ll opt for early line favorite R Heat Lightning (8-5) given a lights out performance over today’s racetrack. Grade 1 tough, she’s already a multiple G2 winner meeting a filly that has yet to be tested at this level.

Continuing to train well, her figures improved as distances lengthened last year, including a two turn placing in the BC Juvenile Fillies and no reason to believe that won’t be the case again today.

Taking R Heat Lightning to win, no price restrictions, keying her in the trifecta with Beso Grande (6-1), Island School (6-1) and It’s Tricky..

Running Totals: (838) 266-174-114 Total Dollar Return: $1,857.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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