Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Clement Aims Winchester at Bowling Green
Today’s Bowling Green Handicap features the return of Grand Couturier (5-2) to Belmont Park, where he won a Grade 1 at this venue last fall. But his effort in the Sword Dancer was subpar on several levels. He’s worth trying to beat.
There are two interesting horses in here; Winchester (5-1) and Colony (5-1). While Colony looks like he’s been specifically pointed to this--Saeed bin Suroor is 31 percent third time off the layup and Rajiv Maragh will ride him back a third time. This outfit had quite a Saratoga.
But Winchester, the G1 Secretariat winner last summer, is making his second start off the layup for new tra1ner Christophe Clement, whose season continued in high style in yesterday’s G1 Garden City.
This guy is coming off a career pace low after which he made up lots of ground under those adverse circumstances. Now back at his favored marathon route with Ramon Dominguez on the re-ride, any semblance of his three year old form and performances figures handle this group.
Taking Winchester to win at 4-1 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Colony and Grand Couturier.
Running Totals: (502) 150-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Versatility the Buy-Word
Two Grade 1s for females, one each on turf and dirt, and as you might guess the turf race offers greater money making potential as the more open of the two. Here’s a look, then, at the Garden City at nine furlongs for three-year-olds at nine furlongs. The other is the nine furlong Ruffian at the same distance for older on the main track.
The play in the Garden City is to get second favorite Maram (3-1) out of the number. The two of most interest are favorite Gozzip Girl (2-1) and third choice Shared Account (4-1).
Gozzip Girl showed a remarkable dimension winning the 10 furlong American Oaks from far back in a bulky field after winning her prior on the engine throughout, the former on a firm course and the latter in soft going at nine furlongs.
This kind of versatility is extremely unusual in a young horse. Of greater significance is the fact that in six lifetime turf starts, she’s never taken a backward step on the Equiform scale. Ten weeks fresh, she should resume where she left off. Shared Account is extremely promising and also handles both kinds of going, especially a wet course.
Taking Gozzip Girl to win at 8-5 or greater and boxing her in the exacta with Shared Account.
Running Totals: (501) 150-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Friday, September 11, 2009
A Winner, or Just a Thin Disguise?
With rain in the forecast for opening day, we’ll tab a pair of specialists in the Belmont Park feature race, an optimal $50,000 claiming starter, non-winners of 1 allowances, one for turf and one for dirt if the race gets rescheduled to the main track.
The presumption must be that Mask and Wig has been pointed to this for the last six weeks. After winning his key race finale at Monmouth Park that produced three next out winners, he returns to the surface over which he’s 3-for-3 lifetime with an excellent recent workline to match. Trainer Barclay Tagg finished the Spa meet on a tear. He’ll be every bit of 4-1.
Should the race be shifter to the main track, Long Jump stayed home at Belmont while his barn mates took a trip up the Northway. Working well for Christophe Clement, the four year old has earned very good figures on the main track and has worked well for his opening day return. The gelding has won at the trip and appears well spotted with this group.
On turf, taking Mask and Wig to win at 4-1 or greater and making exacta key boxes with the good-figure Dantastic (3-1) and Stevil (6-1), a recent sharp claim for Bob Barbera.
On dirt, Long Jump to win at 3-1 or more and an exacta box with Stevil.
Running Totals: (500) 150-103-69 Total Dollar Return: $1,020.10 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci