Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Don’t Go to Sleep On This Guy

Today’s feature, if you can refer to it as that, is likely to come off the turf as tomorrow’s stakes race, the Athenia, will not be run and will be rescheduled for Wednesday, such is the nature of the NY weather at the moment.

So we’re looking at today’s preliminary allowances, the eighth race, as a dirt event. If it’s not, it will be my bad and you might double up tomorrow if so inclined. Or we just might take a look at Keeneland for Saturday.

But today, Barclay Tagg’s Wild Awake will be a tough out. He’s fastest on performance figures, emerges from a new pace top, and now the blinkers are removed fittingly. And it happens that Tagg is a profitable 38 percent efficient in that scenario.

Taking Wild Awake to win with no price restrictions and boxing him in the exacta with Main-Track-Only Vicarious.

Running Totals: (523) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,081.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, October 15, 2009

This Horse Can Fly

There’s not even a nominal feature to begin the Belmont Park. The choice is one of two state-bred races, one featuring a suspicious dropdown that looks like it can’t lose and is a short price or a 7-furlong turf sprint that’s more competitive. We’ll opt for the latter.

Horses of interest of Woodrunner (4-1), who’s well posted, fit’s the race shape nicely but, more often than not, finishes one-paced. Another is Joey’s Chance (5-1), coming off a delayed pace top and returning to his favorite surface for a barn that recently has come alive.

But it is Pegasus Tommy D. (7-2) that has the most upside. A three-year-old vs. elders here, his lone win came at this distance, also fits the shape of the race nicely, switches to Ramon Dominguez and goes first-time for trainer Rick Dutrow, 31 percent with new acquisitions and white hot of late.

Taking Pegasus Tommy D. to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exotics with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (522) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,081.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Monday, October 12, 2009

Bet Any Denomination You’d Like

Today’s holiday feature at Belmont Park is the Pebbles for three-year-old fillies going one mile on the Widener turf. We would be shocked in the winner didn’t come from among Maram (5-2). Denomination (3-1) and Miss Catalyst (5-1).

Of those, we believe Denomination has the most upside. Going postward first time for Christophe Clement, who’s adding first-Lasix and first-Dominguez, this sophomore was beaten 4-½ lengths by Dynaforce in the Beverley D. Meeting older mares in early August is no small chore.

Further, there’s a lack of pace in this race and it’s interesting to note that she raced on the lead a couple of times in Europe before shipping stateside. Of course, setting the pace on turf Over There is very much anti-profile. Clement was quoted as saying he’s satisfied with her training. I can only tell you that if he weren’t satisfied, she’d be in the barn (see Caribbean Sunset on the JC Gold Cup undercard).

Taking Denomination to win at 5-2 or greater and keying her first and second in exotics with her two rivals here.

Running Totals: (521) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,081.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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