Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, March 12, 2010

From North to South, and From….

Soon after he was inducted into the Hall of Fame, trainer Carl Nafzger announced his retirement, turning many horses over to his long time assistant Ian Wilkes and keeping a hand in with a few horses just to stay busy. The man’s lost nothing off his fastball.

He’s run 13 horses at the Gulfstream meet, winning five, in seeks his third straight win without a loss with East To West (4-1).

This late developing five year old gelding came to hand last fall at Churchill and stepped right in here to win at restricted claimer last out, albeit over weaker company.

But he did it the right way with a strong frontrunning performance; the barn is 22% efficient with repeaters and he’s worked well at Palm Meadows preparing for a repeat performance. Given the class rise, bettable odds seem assured.

Taking East To West to win at 7-2 or greater, turf only, and boxing him in exactas with returning distance specialist Midnite Silver.

Running Totals: (610) 189-124-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, March 11, 2010

By Jove, I Think I’ve Got It

Not often when the feature race midweek at Gulfstream Park is a dirt allowance event going 10 furlongs, but that the case in today’s fifth race.

There are a number of horses in this seven horse field coming off lifetime best performances. When that’s the case, you’d like to find an indication that such as horse would hold form.

Today, we’re thinking that Jove (4-1) is going to hold the form he demonstrated winning his last and might even improve on that effort.

Like most runners who come under the care of Marty Wolfson, improvement is not only imminent but immediate, the case here. But his last was extraordinary and subsequently he came back to breeze very quickly at his Calder base.

Add to that he’s bred very well for today’s added ground and figures to sit a comfy inside trip behind the speed, likely the rail runner, Uwannapieceofthis.

Taking Jove to win at 5-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with Uwannapieceofthis (3-1) and surface lover Saratoga Sinner (8-1).

Running Totals: (610) 189-124-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Turf or Dirt: We’re Ready

Interesting sprint feature at Gulfstream Park today, five furlongs on turf featuring some very quick horses. And if the race gets rained off the grass, so much the better.

The favorite is making his return off a long layup. Leavenworth (2-1) hasn’t been out since impressing most favorably on the West Coast but is now on the right side of the country going first time for trainer Wayne Catalano, who’s a profitable 35% in this spot and is training up a storm locally, his most recent work third fastest of 105 at the distance that week.

Then there’s Cognito (3-1), making his second start off a layup for Michael Maker, a 28% proposition and attracts Julien Leparoux. His last here was excellent and should set him up nicely for today’s test.

But it’s the undefeated Elusive Rob (6-1) that’s the most interesting. Normally we avoid turf debut types and proven grass runners but not so in these dashes where early speed is as important as pedigree--maybe more so.

As a son of Elusive Quality, he should take to the turf, he had a very sharp breeze at his Calder base and trainer Steven DiMauro is very adept in these third-off-the-layup scenarios. The rail position doesn’t hurt under these conditions and his “cheap” company lines should insure bettable odds.

Taking Elusive Rob to win at 6-1 or greater, and keying him first and second in exactas with his main rivals here.

IF RACE RESCHEDULED FOR DIRT: Taking Immortal Eyes to win at 3-1 or more.

Running Totals: (610) 189-124-85 Total Dollar Return: $1,309.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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