Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Monday, August 02, 2010

Nothing Discreet About This Colt

Try as I might, there’s no way I can build a case against strong Amsterdam favorite, Discreetly Mine (8-5). Name a category, whether it be demonstrated class, versatility, distance, speed, pace, this colt’s get it, including connections.

And if all those variables aren’t convincing enough, a half-mile blowout in :46 1/5, termed breezing, was best of 92 three-year-olds to work that week in Saratoga. Case closed.

Taking Discreetly Mine to win, no price restrictions, keying him in multiples with General Maximus (6-1), Safe Trip (4-1) and Rule By Night (12-1).

Running Totals: (696) 224-141-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,568.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, August 01, 2010

On a Wing and a Prayer

Given her accomplishments, Unrivaled Belle (1-1) is a worthy high weight and deserving favorite. The potential race shape of the G1 Ruffian says otherwise. No filly is in better form right now than Malibu Prayer (2-1).

She coming up to nine furlongs perfectly, off graduating distances, in her third start off the layup. Not only is she lone, dominant speed, but she gets off the deeper Monmouth surface in favor of a Saratoga two-turner that might find her loose on an easy lead.

Now only has she drawn the pole under these favorable conditions but no one excels more in these situations for Johnny Velazquez, reuniting with the filly for main client Todd Pletcher.

Taking Malibu Prayer to win at 8-5 or greater and an exacta box with Unrivaled Belle.

Running Totals: (695) 223-141-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,561.50 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, July 31, 2010

A Little Warm’s the Hot Horse

It’s not offer we defer to a Grade 2 when a Grade 1 is being offered but frankly there’s a lot more buzz surrounding the Jim Dandy than the Diana.

Overnight trainers Nick Zito and Tony Dutrow each entered two horses in the Jim Dandy, but with Miner’s Reserve and Winslow Homer entered Sunday in the Curlin Stakes, an overnighter for 3 year olds at nine furlongs, they will still have the favorites in Fly Down (3-1) and A Little Warm (7-2).

Fly Down has an experience edge given his Dwyer win at today’s distance and an excellent effort in the Belmont Stakes. He’s also worked well for his return, but he’s using this clearly as a prep for the Travers.

A Little Warm, meanwhile, might be prepping here, too, but first things first. This is a Grade 2 for $500,000 and he still has something to prove in that context. And we think he’s up to the challenge.

His return run following the Louisiana Derby recently at Delaware Park was first rate and he worked brilliantly since. His tactical speed gives him an edge over his main rival, so for A Little Warm, today is his Travers. He must prove he’s up to the competition and must handle nine furlongs before even thinking about a classic distance.

Taking A Little Warm to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Fly Down, and adding Afleet Express to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (693) 222-141-97 Total Dollar Return: $1,551.10 [win selections only] {Friday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


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