Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, February 27, 2010

Rebound With In the Paint

Interesting three-year-old prep at Turfway, the Battaglia Memorial, where the chances are good that you’ll be rewarded if correct. In short, the 12-1 morning line quoted on In The Paint is, well, out of line.

First time out at Keeneland going 7/8s, the horse ran a Z-pattern; you know, up, then back, then rallying forward again. This is a horse crying out for distance.

In his next start, an absolutely loaded maiden race at Churchill, he broke in the air from post 10, losing all chance in the 12-horse field. The first three finishers all returned to win their subsequent starts.

Next out, on this track going a two-turn mile, he broke his maiden by 5 then was absolutely eliminated by a horrendous trip in the WEBN prep for this. After a useful breeze at his Keeneland base, he returns here for a barn profitable with their routers, especially in non-graded stakes. Throw in a positive rider switch to good measure.

Taking In The Paint to win at 6-1 or greater, and keying him first and second in multiples with rapid-working Lucky Chuck (7-2), and Kera’s Kitten (9-5), the very impressive WEBN winner but having a different pace scenario this time around.

Running Totals: (603) 188-123-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,305.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, February 26, 2010

Lemon and Spice and Eveything Nice

Today’s turf feature at Gulfstream Park features a very classy but unreliable favorite in Vacation (3-1). The McGaughey barn has been live at this meet, Leparoux in the boot guaranties patient handling and dropping out of G1s and G3s solidifies his class edge. But he’s better on dirt than on turf, today’s surface. From post 11 at the price, he’s worth trying to beat.

There are a number of sharp rivals in Anarko (6-1), who freaked winning his last, and Sincero (6-1), who will be in this throughout beneath the heady Johnny V. But it’s Lemon Spice (4-1) who loom the most probable winner.

His last two efforts were excellent figure-wise and today’s distance should enable him to fire his best late shot. Javier Castellano is having a great meet, knows how to save ground when he needs to and is adept with late rally types. His recent half-mile breeze was sharp and trainer Bennie Stutz is making the most of his limited opportunities at this meet. The inside post doesn’t hurt.

Taking Lemon Spice to win at 2-1 or greater and keying him first and second in multiples with his rivals here.

Running Totals: (602) 187-123-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, February 25, 2010

Shhh, Want a Good Thing at Tampa?

Today’s feature race brings us to Northern Florida for a preliminary allowances on the grass for older fillies and mares going nine furlongs.

The logical and worthy top contenders are Doctor Carina (3-1), shipping in for Tampa- prolific Tom Proctor and C C Cerada (9-2), from the highly productive grass barn of Chris Block beneath Victor Lebron, profitable with his turf mounts here.

But the interesting filly providing an excellent chance for a score is Whisperer (15-1), from the crafty barn of Joan Scott.

Second in her key race turf debut on this ground more than a year ago, she returned off a long layup recently to take an honestly run dirt event. Subsequently, she’s had three useful works since and the turf meant filly is also strongly bred for the stretchout to a mile and an eighth.

Phil Teator takes the re-ride off the maiden score and the rail draw will enable him to be in this one throughout given the perceived lack of strong pace pressure. Ground-saving plus reasonable fractions and stout pedigree signal potential upset.

Taking Whisperer to win at 8-1 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiples with her listed rivals here.

Running Totals: (601) 187-123-82 Total Dollar Return: $1,298.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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