Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Monday, February 18, 2008

It Is Now Post Time for the “Cappy”

Today’s Big A feature is the Fred Caposella for three-year-olds at six furlongs. The “Cappy” has only drawn a field of five with no shortage of speed. We’ll concentrate on two: Law N Dora (5-2) and Laysh Laysh Laysh (4-1).

Early line favorite Go Go Shoot (2-1) was not easy to eliminate, but something had to give here. C. C. Lopez is very likely to hustle the speed of the speed out of the chute but coming back relatively quickly off a career best effort while picking up six pounds is not very inviting at a short price.

Law N Dora chased Go Go last time but had to settle for place. Today, with a switch to Rajiv Maragh, we’re looking for a change of tactics, too, reverting to his effort of two starts back in which he sat a pocket trip before tipping outside for the win. He blew out sharply at his Philadelphia Park base for this.

Should a pace duel develop, not extremely likely in a small field, it will be to Laysh Laysh Laysh’s best advantage. Riding a two-race streak for the very live David Jacobson shed, he has the best late lick in this heat, speed figures more than competitive enough to compete, and drops six significant pounds off his recent score. It’s up to new pilot Mario Pino to time this colt’s move perfectly.

Taking Law N Dora to win at 2-1 or more and an exacta box with Laysh Laysh Laysh.

Running Totals: (176) 62-37-19. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Sunday, February 17, 2008

Can’t Avoid Dearly Precious Favorite

Today’s feature has attracted an interesting field of three-year-old fillies sprinting six furlongs. Unfortunately, it’s not a very compelling betting race.

Hard as we try, it’s very difficult to get past the favorite and likely second choice. Sherine (9-5) is the most accomplished of the group, while Armonk (4-1) is extremely sharp. Something’s got to give here.

Sherine deserves the favorite’s role. She’s won half her six lifetime starts, performs well going long, short, on dirt and on turf. She’s 1-for-1 on the winter surface and at today’s distance. She’s not as attractive as Armonk as a betting proposition but she has more versatility and conditioning, an advantage here.

Armonk is very quick, loves this surface, as her 2-for-2 mark suggests, but she appears to be one dimensional and there are others with speed to test her here. With showers predicted for the afternoon, a wet track figures to help her rivals here. But if you run with her, you’re likely doing it at your peril.

Taking Sherine to win, no price restrictions, and exacta key boxes first and second with Armonk and either half of the Gary Contessa entry, both making their first starts for the meet’s leading outfit.

Running Totals: (175) 62-37-19. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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Saturday, February 16, 2008

Take Anthony Over Rick in Hollie Hughes

Today’s feature, named for the legendary local horseman who trained well into advanced age, Hollie Hughes, has attracted a well matched field of talented state-bred sprinters. Ultimately, however, it will come down to the brother Dutrow, Anthony and Rick.

Wind up Premium Wine (5-2) and he runs a good race. Nine starts, five wins with three placings attests to that. But Anthony’s horse has several other advantages of his brother Rick’s Stormin Normandy.

Premium Wine has been a paragon of consistency based on his performance figures, clearly faster than other rivals not named Stormin Normandy. With all the speed signed on here, his come-from-behind fit’s the shape perfectly, he’s 48 days fresh, and attracts leading rider Ramon Dominguez. He’ll be a tough out.

But if there’s a rival that can race on the pace and keep going, it’s ‘Stormin’. One for one on this track, he takes a four-race win streak into this, including a victory in the state-bred Hudson at Belmont Park last fall. In fact, he’s never lost since moving into Rick Dutrow’s shed. The capable stable rider Rudy Rodriguez, who rode him in his prep for this, takes the re-ride. We’ll stick to the script here.

Taking Premium Wine to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with Stormin Normandy. Also keying Premium Wine first and second in trifectas with Stormin Normandy and the very sharp Whistlin' (4-1) second and third.

Running Totals: (175) 62-37-19. Total Dollar Return: $387.20 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci

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