Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis
Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks
. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.
In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line"
column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line"
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Banking on Ramon to Steal Big A Feature
Today’s feature is a secondary allowances, $50,000 optional claiming at a mile and 70 yards that figures to be a good, competitive race if all go postward. The race will come down to three outfits who will saddle the early favorites, but the competitive nature should ensure bettable odds for any or all of them.
The white hot Anthony Dutrow, 4 for his last 11 starters, 3 for his last five with Alan Garcia, will send out an entry (3-1) with Garcia named on both, meaning only one will start. And either Indian Hawke or Three In The Bag could win. The former would represent a bounce-rebound since his rapid effort two starts back took its toll. It is among the fastest performance figures in the race. If Dutrow elects to start Three In The Bag, that runner would be seeking its fourth win in seven career starts over the winter surface.
Perfect Vow is the early line favorite at 5-2. Trained by Dan Peitz, this is a very well regarded three-year-old who was expected to join the Triple Crown chase earlier this year until he was sidelined. But he returned with a vengeance on Nov. 2 in a main track sprint. But he has run well going longer on this surface and has twice worked in 59-and-change twice since his return. Peitz has chosen a realistic spot here for continued development. Of the three betting interests under consideration, he would be the most likely to be a post-time underlay.
Stolen Time (7-2) is as consistent as they come, which is the good and bad news. He runs competitive figures nearly every time he shows up. But sometimes he gets there and sometimes does not. He likes this surface, though, has enough tactical speed to jump into the race, an inside post, and a rider, Ramon Dominguez, who is known for his ground saving prowess. Of the three, he is the most likely value in this interesting two-turner.
Taking Stolen Time to win at 3-1 or greater and as an exacta and trifecta key first and second with the two contenders noted here.
Running Totals: (141) 51-30-16. Total Dollar Return: $297.80 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, December 02, 2007
Speed Kills in Big A Feature
Today’s feature is the East View Stakes for state-bred juvenile fillies going around two turns at a mile and a sixteenth. The group is long on speed and questionable on staying power; that’s the quandary here.
Sherine (2-1) is a worthy favorite. Fastest on performance figures, she has excellent early speed and can sustain that speed strongly to the wire. At least she’s done that sprinting, and has enough bottom-side pedigree for the stretch out as a granddaughter of Red Ransom. And inside post and the presence of Alan Garcia only helps.
Meriwether Jessica (5-2) is the logical and main contender. She placed gamely in the open class Grade 3 Tempted last out and was reserved from a subsequent start in open company in favor of this two-turner vs. state-breds. Eibar Coa takes the ride for steady patron Linda Rice who’s been on a roll since Saratoga, especially with her young New York-breds. The fast working ’Jessica’ should be rating just off the pace and will make her presence known just before turning for home.
But we’ll take the speedy Sherine to win at 8-5 or greater and an exacta box with the Rice filly. Trifecta players should consider using two-day turn-around Jovanna (4-1) and long-winded Deities Day (6-1) in both in-the-money positions.
Running Totals: (140) 50-30-16. Total Dollar Return: $294.20 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci
Saturday, December 01, 2007
Oprah Stumps for Dutrow in Big A Feature
Today’s stakes is the Garland and Roses for sprinting fillies, three-year-olds and up, at six furlongs. The two favorites were last seen on Breeders’ Cup weekend in New Jersey and neither won on those horrifically sloppy tracks. Finding the circle here will be much easier.
Oprah Winney (6-5) is a worthy favorite. She consistently faster on performance figures, enjoys a wide class edge on her company lines, has won half her 10 starts at the distance and is 2-for-5 on this surface. Rick Dutrow is batting 32 percent at this meet and young star Alan Garcia gets the call.
Control System (4-1) was a very willing third in the Miss Woodford on Friday of Breeders’ Cup weekend, took the Grade 3 Cicada in her only winter track appearance and at 116 pounds gets a significant eight pounds from the favorite. She boasts a best of 61 :48 second breeze at her Laurel base for this and trainer Michael Trombetta has won with three of is last nine shippers into New York. She has a puncher’s chance given those variables but Oprah Winney just looks like too much filly in this spot.
Taking Oprah Winney to win at even money or greater and an exacta box with Control System. To maximize the play, we will key Oprah Winney first and second in trifectas with Control system, and add sharp shipper Coli Bear (8-1) and fresh three-year-old Cash’s Girl (10-1) to the mix second and third.
Running Totals: (139) 50-30-15. Total Dollar Return: $294.20 [win selections only]
Written by John Pricci