Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Poetry in Motion

The feature race at Gulfstream is a bettor’s delight--if you’re right, of course. It’s a highly contentious “NW 3 optional claming,” featuring the first start in 432 days for the 2009 Juvenile Fillies winner, Tapitsfly.

It’s a winning spot if she’s at anything near 100 percent. The guess is that she will not.

We’re looking seriously at an outsider in here, literally and figuratively. Sweet Theresa (12-1) has some things going for her, outside slip notwithstanding.

Back at her proper level, her lifetime best performance figure at Colonial going today’s mile distance is on a par with the fastest fillies in here. Further, she’s been training up a storm at her Palm Meadows base, has some tactical speed to gain some position early--since there’s a lot of early gas signed on here--and can kick.

Trainer Graham Motion is reaching out for Edgar Prado, his 2010 Breeders’ Cup F&M Turf-winning rider, who is adept at working out decent trips on the turf despite challenging circumstances. At anything near early line odds, she’s the play.

Taking Sweet Theresa at 8-1 of greater and keying her first and second in the multiple pools with Tapitsfly (4-1), Miss World (3-1) and, from a key race, Romin’ Robin (6-1).

Running Totals: (790) 254-164-108 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Outlaw Country Has True Grit

Interesting Parx feature, a starter allowances for “a other-than” or N4L” going three quarters with a little bit of everything, meaning the trip will get it. That’s likely the favorite Dp the Facilitator (3-1), who moved up big time in his second start for Carlos Guerrero and whose kick fits the shape nicely here.

But we’re more interested in Outlaw Country (5-1), who has a bit of tactical speed and kick, a cozy inside draw, picks up Stewart Elliott, and trainer Timothy Kreiser excels with these sprint types.

As a newly turned 4-year-old, he has some upside, has run well over the surface and is back at his proper level at what appears to be his optimal distance.

Taking Outlaw Country to win at 7-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with the early line choice and the very speedy Ambrose Light (6-1) who qualified for this condition running off the screen at Penn National, earning a top performance figure for crafty ship-in trainer Brandon Kulp.

Running Totals: (789) 254-164-108 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, January 07, 2011

Making Hearts Grow Fonder

Two features at Gulfstream today and with Morning Line looming a very strong favorite in the Hal’s Hope, we’ll opt for an opportunity for better value in the Spectacular Bid.

While Leave Of Absence (5-2) is a likely post time favorite, there are enough of interesting alternatives in here for that price to hold relatively well.

Indeed, Love Of Absence is coming off a lifetime best, but he’s had sufficient recovery time and has shown good energy distribution on his card, Further, given all the early gas signed on here, he should be able to use his tactical foot and kick to good advantage.

Taking Love Of Absence to win at 2-1 or greater, keying him first and second in multiples with likely pacesetter Gangsterontherun (3-1) and likely trip-sitter Winchell (5-1).

Running Totals: (788) 254-163-108 Total Dollar Return: $1,763.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Page 579 of 785 pages « FirstP  <  577 578 579 580 581 >  Last »