Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Friday, June 18, 2010

Full Unit on Half Metal Jacket

Exiting a key race that has produced two winners from three subsequent starters, Flat Bold (9-5) is a deserving favorite of today’s Belmont Park featured non-winners of three allowances/optional claiming mile for older horses.

Two of his three lifetime best performance figures have come on this surface, at this distance last out and he returns six weeks fresh breaking from a favorable outside slip.

But it’s second favorite Half Metal Jacket (2-1) that appears more interesting. Owning an enviable blend of tactical speed, finishing ability and a 3-for-5 record at this distance, the 5-year-old gelding appears to have improved off the Chip Dutrow claim, returns to his winning level for a barn that’s 3-for-10 recently going sprint to route with four other money finishes.

The victim of a horribly wide trip when out-posted and ambitiously placed in a sprint stakes on the Preakness day undercard, we don’t construe Ramon Dominguez riding him back as a bad sign. From his position in the outer middle portion of the gate vs. six rivals, we look for him to start quickly, allowing Dominguez to play it off the break.

Taking Half Metal Jacket to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Flat Bold, and adding surface loving Green spirit (6-1) and fresh returnee Birdrun (7-2) from the white hot Mott shed to the trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (672) 213-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,478.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, June 17, 2010

Getting Aggressive with Sunday Blitz

For a six horse field, it’s another interesting feature at Belmont Park, for three-year-old and up sprinting six furlongs in a preliminary starter allowance.

No Fly Zone (3-1) ships in from Delaware with superior figures since the Pecoraro claim but he will be meeting tougher, will be pressured on the lead, and rates to regress off two recent big top efforts. Further, he expects to attract much mutuel play.

The most interesting of these is Sunday Blitz (4-1), coming from a race that’s produced two next out winners and shipping down from Woodbine for Steve Klesaris.

Since his most recent start, he sports a pair of sharp blowouts at the owner-trainer’s Fair Hill base, attracts Jose Lezcano, ran as fast as most of these at 2 and his versatile style and outside post could suit him very nicely in this spot.

Taking Sunday Blitz to win at 7-2 or greater and keying him first and second in exactas with multiple winner and recent claim King Andrew (7-2) and likely trip-sitter Drink At Last Call (5-2). Trifecta players can add No Fly Zone to their mix.

Running Totals: (671) 213-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,478.90 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, June 16, 2010

It’s Magic

The feature race at Belmont Park, such as it is, is not all that interesting--unless we can fashion some exotic filler, that is.

Magic Lion (5-2) is a worthy favorite and most probable winner. He’s been the fastest on paper most recently, owns an impressive score over the track, and goes first time off the Chad Brown claim, a variable that’s 26% and profitable since the young man has struck out on his own.

Further, he looks to be the dominant, and possibly lone, speed and Rajiv Maragh certainly doesn’t hurt his chances. The main danger looms Harmonizer (2-1), coming of two good seconds since switching to the Mike Maker shed who excels with horses going long. So does partner Ramon Dominguez.

Taking Magic Lion to win at 2-1 or greater, an exacta box with Harmonizer, and adding Long Jump (4-1), coming out fresh for Christophe Clement who’s 2-for-2 recently using Cornelio Velasquez and Show Trial (20-1), on a great performance-figure line and rates to fill out a worthy trifecta.

Running Totals: (670) 212-136-94 Total Dollar Return: $1,475.10 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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