Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Proudinsky Stands Tallest

Need to be frank here regarding today’s rescheduled Grade 3 Knickerbocker Stakes. Actually, two things: I remember when this race was a handicap, and today's favorite looks so imposing I don’t think I can beat him and won’t even try.

It’s not so much that he sticks out on class as a graded stakes winner, that he’s been competitive at the G1 level or that the Frankel barn is 4-for-10 at the current meet. Or even that he’s fastest on performance figures by a significant margin.

Rather, it’s the fact that his best efforts and four of his victories have come at today's nine furlong distance, which looks like the key to success in this race.

Contrarians can point to his 0-for-3 record on this course but two of those defeats came at the G1 level. Fresh, he should show his tactical speed, establish good position from the pole, and wait until Javier Castellano gives him his cue.

Taking Proudinsky (9-5) to win, no price restrictions, keying him two ways in exotics with Operation Red Dawn, Brave Tin Soldier and Danak.

Running Totals: (526) 157-106-76 Total Dollar Return: $1,100.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Wednesday, October 21, 2009

It’s Not HBO, It’s Cable

Today’s Belmont Park feature is the re-scheduled Grade 3 Athenia for fillies and mares three-year-olds and up going 1-1/16th miles on the Belmont inner turf.

Of course, we can make cases for several. Sunshine For Life (6-1) is fresh, training well, picks up Johnny V. and is clearly the controlling speed. But does last year’s winner of this race want cut in the ground? That’s what she’ll get today.

Belle Allure (6-5) is racing in top form fro Christophe Clement, is well suited to the competition and gets Dominguez, but I can understand what makes her worthy of such a short early line price. We wish her well.

It’s uncoupled stablemate Cable (6-1) who is a lot more interesting. After the lightly raced filly earned a lifetime best figure under these conditions two back, she had a tougher trip around two turns in her last under the lights at The Meadowlands.

Both lifetime wins came at today’s trip and she’s never been worse than second in two starts over the local ground, including a win. At early line odds, she represents significant value.

Taking Cable to win at 4-1 or greater and keying her first and second in exotics with her rivals here.

Running Totals: (525) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,100.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, October 18, 2009

Back to the Bluegrass Turf

We’ll stay at Keeneland, and stay on the grass for the Grade 3 Bryan Station for three-year-olds going a mile.

We find this field in various stages of development and one that seems to be marching forward continually is Mikoshi (4-1), the kind of incremental improvement that signals that just might be more to come.

There are some in here, such as Crespo (4-1), who are more accomplished in terms of company lines. Then there’s the streaking Get Stormy (7-2), who’s improved rapidly for Tom Bush, and the impressive allowance winner Kinsella (3-1), at today’s distance in his Spa finale.

But Mikoshi fits the race shape here as well as any of his rivals, he handles off ground, and his tactical speed and inside post could help him trip out in the one. Taking Mikoshi to win and place at 4-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (524) 157-106-75 Total Dollar Return: $1,100.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


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