Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Whenever his daily work schedule permits, HorseRaceInsider executive editor John Pricci will analyze that day's feature race from a major thoroughbred-racing jurisdiction.

Saturday, December 19, 2009

That’s the Spirit

There’s a chance to bet the favorite in today’s Louisiana Champions Day Turf Stakes at the Fair Grounds, rescheduled following last week’s program cancellation due to unsafe track conditions.

The post time favorite is likely to be early line choice Desert Wheat (2-1), the horse for course specialist trained by Bill Mott. But we’re not looking to take a short price from an outside post on grass.

Lee’s Spirit (8-1) will offer good value. He’s earned competitive figures on this course, handles any footing, hails from a barn adept with non-graded stakes starters and appears set for his best in his second start following a layup with a positive ROI in that role. He owns versatile style and is ridden by his regular partner.

Taking Lee’s Spirit to win and place at 7-1 or greater.

Running Totals: (562) 176-112-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,214.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Friday, December 18, 2009

Rosie Just Loves the Calder Turf

Today’s feature race exercise takes us to Calder for the ninth race, a turf allowances for fillies and mares at a mile and a sixteenth.

Need to know that if Candle Maker (8-5) draws in from the also-eligible list, everyone else is probably running for second money.

That said, the rest of this two-turner opens up very nicely and there are a number of horses that project to move forward in the group.

Halfbetterthannone (6-1) had been a gem of consistency at Monmouth Park where she earned good figures with regularity. The fact that trainer DiMauro is batting almost 25 percent the last few months doesn’t hurt. Neither does the presence of Rajiv Maragh.

Dream With Us (8-1) is a nicely developing four-year-old which might break through to a new level. Trainer Collazo’s been going well of late and Eibar Coa is accepting the call. Blue Hill Bay (5-2) is shipping down from New York for a turf campaign. Scotty Everett has a nice hand with his turf runners and local sensation Luis Saez takes the ride.

But it’s the three-year-old Rosie’s Princess (3-1) that has the most upside of those that have already drawn in. Nicely positioned in mid-pack, Jose Pinchin has been on a roll the last three months (24%), as has the filly who’s seeking her third straight over the course. The Calder lover, 50 days fresh, owns three wins over this ground and has never been off the board in five starts.

Taking Rosie’s Princess to win at 3-1 or greater and keying her first and second in the multiples with all fillies listed above. Further, an extra exacta box should Candle Maker draw in and we’ll also add fast working Black Russian (5-1) to our trifecta mix.

Running Totals: (562) 176-112-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,214.40 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Thursday, December 17, 2009

Sea Current Taking Bettors Upstream

Today’s Tampa feature looks like it will go as the sixth race, a preliminary allowances on turf at a mile and a sixteenth for three-year-olds and up.

Schopenhauer (5-2) is a solid and logical early favorite. He’s fast, owns a win on this course, is reunited with trainer Dennis Manning, 36 percent efficient in that category and who saddled this horse to victory during the spring meet here.

But there are two contenders that can offer good value depending which way the crowd goes. Steps Silver Halo (6-1) is on a good performance figure line, going well on the Keeneland Poly in a key-race effort, has worked well for this spot and trainer Dale Bennett is a profitable 24 percent coming back on this kind of seven-week timetable.

Sea Current (9-2), meanwhile, is developing beautifully, goes well fresh for turf and layup ace, Michael Zweisler, owns a sharp work and is drawn inside, attracting Rosemary Homeister. Interesting race and no easy call. We’ll err on the side of potential value.

Taking Sea Current at 4-1 or greater, keying him first and second in exactas with his rivals here, an extra ticket with Schopenauer, and a trifecta box of the three.

Running Totals: (562) 176-112-78 Total Dollar Return: $1,214.40 [win selections only] {Wednesday results not included}

Written by John Pricci


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