Pricci's Free Daily Feature Race Analysis

Five days per week and every racing day during the Saratoga meet, John Pricci will provide horse racing selections of that day's feature race. When the racing schedule dictates otherwise, there will be analysis from other major thoroughbred Tracks. Check back here 5 days a week for free horse racing selections.

In addition to his race analysis, John will provide commentary in a weekly "On the Line" column and daily blogs under the "Pricci's Morning Line" banner.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Potential Trip and Value Key to Half High

Today’s Aqueduct feature is the overnight Half High Stakes for three-year-olds and up going a flat mile at the Big A. The fastest horse, Solar Flare, makes his first start for the Anthony Dutrow barn, a profitable 32 percent in that scenario and an outfit that’s 28 percent efficient with layups of 90 days or more. With New York’s leading rider Ramon Dominguez, he’s a worthy favorite (7-5).

However, this looks like an interesting spot for both Timber Reserve and Gold Trippi. Timber Reserve is nicely positioned outside the favorite for the backstretch run and with enough tactical speed to stalk whichever rival elects to set the pace, then out-quick the field home. His steady works since his latest look purposeful and he reunites with Javier Castellano, who rode him to two previous victories.

But this race is about course lover Gold Trippi, who's 2-for-3 over this ground, perfectly suited to a one-turn mile, and benefits from the switch to Alan Garcia. Taking any value offered on the early line second choice, to win at 3-1 or greater, and boxing him in exactas with Solar Flare and Timber Reserve.

Running Totals: (535) 163-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,132.60 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Sunday, November 01, 2009

Can’t Criticize Favorite Backers in Long Island Handicap

Today’s Grade 3 Long Island Handicap at the Big A, at a mile and a half for fillies and mares, looks like the perfect spot for Criticism (8-5), who makes it a habit of trying hard and racing well in Grade 1s that are just a bit too tough for her. However, when she drops into G2 and G3 she usually dominates her rivals. We expect that will be the case today.

Taking Criticism to win, no price restrictions, and boxing her in the exacta with price shot Tidal Dance (20-1). Making her turf debut is a sign of confidence from a trainer that’s a profitable 21 percent in that scenario, She has the pedigree to get the marathon route and attracts Alan Garcia.

Running Totals: (534) 16-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,129.30 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Saturday, October 31, 2009

If I Lose, Only Myself to Blame

We do believe the linemaker made the wrong favorite in today’s Grade 2 Raven Run, the final Saturday program of the Keeneland fall meet. It’s hard to argue with Parading’s (7-5) credentials. Always competitive in G1 company, he gets a little class relief here, likes the artificial surface, draws inside and attracts Kent D. for Shug McGaughey.

But this year has been not only the year of the filly but the year of the three-year-olds, who have represented their class well when pitted against their elders. Now Blame (9-5) won’t make you reach but should enable you to knock off the favorite.

Developing beautifully, he’s never taken a backward step in his career on the Equiform scale and as a sophomore, gets weights from his elders. Last out he was a very good second to Breeders’ Cup-bound Regal Ransom, who dictated a soft pace on his way to the circle. Six weeks fresh, little Al Stall’s three-year-old should continue to march under regular rider Jamie Theriot.

Taking Blame to win at 8-5 or greater and keying him in exotics with the favorite and price shot Public Speaker (10-1), a late developing 4-year-old who’s in raging form and draws the for ship-in ace, Dale Bennett.

Running Totals: (533) 161-106-77 Total Dollar Return: $1,122.70 [win selections only]

Written by John Pricci


Page 593 of 700 pages « FirstP  <  591 592 593 594 595 >  Last »